sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,999

POB-T

0x41e…66b7
Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$9,255vol $570k
PnL 30d−$2,612gains $2,957 · losses $2,883
PnL 7d−$822win rate 7d 45.1%
Win rate45.1%adj 45.3% · 30d 45.1%
Open value$6,919cash n/a
Positions483 / 6,196open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$10.7kbelow peak −$10.7kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 45.1% · shrunk toward 50%13
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes60044.7¢40.8¢$245−$23$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No20082.6¢82.1¢$164−$1.10$0
Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Yes12587.1¢97¢$121+$12+$22
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No22085.5¢46.6¢$103−$86+$8.51
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?No11974.3¢68¢$81−$7.43+$3.49
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No13558¢58.5¢$79+$0.68$0
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No8085¢89.5¢$72+$3.60−$102
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No8086.4¢86.4¢$69−$0.04−$198
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?No10079¢68.5¢$69−$11−$18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes10066¢63.5¢$64−$2.50$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No10064¢62.5¢$63−$1.50$0
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes10063.8¢62¢$62−$1.85−$75
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?Yes7681¢78¢$59−$2.24$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão?Yes6093¢95.5¢$57+$1.47$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No6085¢89¢$53+$2.40$0
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?No6082.3¢88.9¢$53+$3.99−$18
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD?No6093.1¢87¢$52−$3.69$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No5987.1¢87.5¢$52+$0.21$0
Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Yes10072.5¢49.5¢$50−$23$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?No7565¢63.5¢$48−$1.13$0
Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No5094.4¢93.6¢$47−$0.42$0
Will Chuang Ching-cheng win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?No5093¢92.5¢$46−$0.28$0
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?No7565¢61.5¢$46−$2.63$0
Will Ana Brnabić win the next Serbia presidential election?No6079¢75.5¢$45−$2.10$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?Yes6075¢75.5¢$45+$0.30$0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes6081¢73.5¢$44−$4.50$0
Will João Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?No5086¢86¢$43$0+$0.20
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No6072¢71.5¢$43−$0.30$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes6072¢71.5¢$43−$0.30$0
Will Kefas Ropshik win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?No5086.1¢83.8¢$42−$1.18$0
Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes5086¢83.5¢$42−$1.25$0
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes6074¢69.5¢$42−$2.70−$65
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No6067.7¢68.7¢$41+$0.57−$72
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No9047¢45.5¢$41−$1.35$0
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No6068¢67.5¢$41−$0.30$0
Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?No4689¢87.5¢$40−$0.69$0
Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?No5081.8¢79.8¢$40−$1.02$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes5080¢79.5¢$40−$0.25−$14
Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?No5076¢78.5¢$39+$1.25$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?Yes10049¢39¢$39−$10$0
Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?No5077¢77¢$39$0$0
Will Tim Palmer win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?No5078¢75.5¢$38−$1.25$0
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Yes5077¢73.5¢$37−$1.75$0
Will US win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No5076¢73.5¢$37−$1.25$0
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?No4090¢90.5¢$36+$0.20$0
Will Susan Stevenson win the 2026 London mayoral election?No5090¢72.5¢$36−$8.75$0
Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?No4585¢79.5¢$36−$2.48$0
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes5079¢71.5¢$36−$3.75$0
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?No5088¢70.5¢$35−$8.75−$74
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?Yes5074¢68.5¢$34−$2.75$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?No3889¢87.5¢$34−$0.58−$0.12
Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No4376¢78¢$33+$0.86+$0.37
Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Yes5065¢65.5¢$33+$0.25$0
Will PCN win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?No4671.8¢70¢$33−$0.86+$1.86
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No5563¢59¢$32−$2.20−$26
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes6052¢53¢$32+$0.60$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes10335.9¢30.5¢$31−$5.57$0
Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027?No5063¢62.5¢$31−$0.25$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-06 House seat?No3393.6¢93¢$31−$0.21$0
Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election?Yes5061¢60.5¢$30−$0.25$0
Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?No11845.5¢25¢$29−$24−$0.01
Will Fred Francis win the 2026 Windsor mayoral election?No5069¢58.5¢$29−$5.25$0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Yes4759¢61.5¢$29+$1.17$0
Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?No3478¢84.5¢$28+$2.19−$1.76
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No5555¢51.5¢$28−$1.92$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes5060¢56.5¢$28−$1.75$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Yes5058¢55.5¢$28−$1.25$0
Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?No5371.2¢51.5¢$28−$11$0
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?No9039.3¢30.5¢$27−$7.91−$9.08
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes9031¢30.5¢$27−$0.45$0
Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes4363.3¢62.5¢$27−$0.35−$0.85
Will the New Economic Party / The Reservists be in the next Israeli government?No6066¢44¢$26−$13$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20014.2¢13.2¢$26−$2.10+$45
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?No6049.5¢43.8¢$26−$3.42$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No3478¢77.5¢$26−$0.17$0
Republican Senate odds hit 40% by October 31?No6261.5¢41¢$25−$13$0
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Yes5058¢50.5¢$25−$3.75$0
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?No5055¢50.5¢$25−$2.25$0
Will Lukáš Fiedler be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?Yes5052¢46.5¢$23−$2.75$0
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?No4455¢52.5¢$23−$1.10−$12
Will Javier Milei win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes4647.7¢49.5¢$23+$0.81+$0.33
Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No5046¢44.5¢$22−$0.75$0
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes5541¢40¢$22−$0.55$0
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?Yes3073¢72.5¢$22−$0.15$0
Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?No2882.5¢77¢$22−$1.54+$0.38
Will Ladislav Lörinc win the 2026 Košice mayoral election?Yes5042¢43¢$22+$0.50$0
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes5535¢39¢$21+$2.20+$0.75
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes7724¢27¢$21+$2.31$0
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?No5048¢41.5¢$21−$3.25$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes7926.4¢26¢$21−$0.30+$11
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?No2673¢78.5¢$21+$1.44$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes20010.1¢10.1¢$20−$0.10$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?Yes5931¢34¢$20+$1.76$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?No6827¢29.5¢$20+$1.69+$20
Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?No3171.1¢64¢$20−$2.18+$0.10
Will Reservists and New Economic Party win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?No3458.8¢57¢$20−$0.60−$1.75
Will Democrats win the Iowa Governor election and Republicans win the Iowa Senate election?No3558.1¢55.5¢$20−$0.93+$0.30
Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Yes6539.3¢30¢$19−$6.04+$0.86
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?No2771¢71¢$19$0−$5.19
Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?Yes2967¢67¢$19$0$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?46.5¢110$5145%30
SELL YesWill Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?76¢200$15245%30
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?63¢360$22745%30
SELL YesWill Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?66.9¢480$32145%30
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by October 31, 2026?24¢83$2045%30
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by October 31, 2026?25¢18$4.4545%30
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?57¢2$1.4045%30
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?57¢18$1045%30
BUY NoWill Donald Trump publicly praise Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?60.3¢27$1645%30
SELL YesWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?84¢51$4345%30
SELL NoFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?76¢104$7945%30
SELL NoWill Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?81¢130$10545%30
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?21¢200$4245%30
SELL YesWill Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?80¢50$4045%30
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?96¢25$2445%30
SELL YesWill Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?94.1¢30$2845%30
SELL NoUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30?89¢51$4645%30
BUY YesWill Rastislav Gajarský win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?5.7¢129$7.3145%30
SELL YesWill Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?89.5¢5$4.4745%30
SELL NoWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?98.5¢81$8045%30