sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,135

Chungvicular

0x41e…7a3d
PnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$36.2kvol $3.25M
PnL 30d+$15.0kgains $5,807 · losses $5,165
PnL 7d+$129win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate52.2%adj 51.9% · 30d 78.6%
Open value$58.2kcash n/a
Positions59 / 225open / all-time
Max drawdown−49.5%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$48.3kbelow peak −$10.8kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 52.2% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity51

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 59

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes16.3k28.3¢57.9¢$9,428+$4,820+$3,795
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes375k1.1¢2.4¢$9,000+$4,843$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes26.8k39.7¢29.5¢$7,893−$2,726−$372
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes15.0k22.2¢26.5¢$3,975+$646$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No4,39346.9¢62.5¢$2,746+$686+$378
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No3,38556¢70.5¢$2,386+$491−$8.07
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes10.0k21.6¢22.5¢$2,250+$90$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes8,12927.3¢26.5¢$2,154−$65$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No7,62822.4¢26.5¢$2,022+$316$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes4,12536.7¢38.5¢$1,588+$74$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes4,00527.5¢37.5¢$1,502+$401+$229
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No5,00031.5¢28.7¢$1,435−$140$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No7,61438.5¢17¢$1,294−$1,634$0
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?No5,50020.1¢22.5¢$1,238+$131$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No2,80042.4¢37.5¢$1,050−$136$0
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?No5,55534.4¢16.5¢$917−$997$0
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes2,37041.8¢38.5¢$913−$79$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,25843¢62.5¢$786+$245$0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes8,0007¢8.5¢$680+$120$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes29.1k6¢2.3¢$670−$1,091+$20
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes7,75015.4¢8.5¢$659−$536$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No8,0007¢7.5¢$600+$40$0
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes163k0.3¢0.4¢$572+$82$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes2,00052¢25.5¢$510−$530$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?No59062¢81.5¢$481+$115$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes32.9k1¢1.3¢$411+$82$0
Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?Yes50570¢56.5¢$285−$68$0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?No85428.2¢25.5¢$218−$23$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes27948¢62.5¢$174+$40+$30
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes16654¢80.5¢$134+$44$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes15062¢81.5¢$122+$29$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-02 House seat?Yes5781¢83.5¢$48+$1.43$0
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?No4744.1¢62.9¢$29+$8.76$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 0%-3%?No1061¢92¢$9.20+$3.10$0
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes17.7k7¢0.1¢$8.86−$1,241−$237
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No4215¢10¢$4.20−$2.10$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?No1028¢38.5¢$3.85+$1.05$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No528¢25.5¢$1.20−$0.12+$158
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes50.0k1.3¢0¢$0−$650$0
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?Yes16.7k17.3¢0¢$0−$2,903−$32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes10.0k41¢0¢$0−$4,100+$522
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes9,99518.8¢0¢$0−$1,879−$1.01
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports6,0007¢0¢$0−$420−$5.28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes3,00074.7¢0¢$0−$2,240$0
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No1,65816¢0¢$0−$265$0
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,3590.1¢0¢$0−$1.36$0
Graham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?Yes1,2286.7¢0¢$0−$82−$3.06
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?Yes75512.8¢0¢$0−$97−$3.38
Will Young Kim advance from the CA-40 primary election?No75020¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No50044¢0¢$0−$220$0
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes35822.1¢0¢$0−$79+$4.26
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Yes1219.7¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%?Yes1219.7¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 15%?Yes1219.7¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?Yes1219.7¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 10–15%?Yes1219.7¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by more than 25%?Yes929.9¢0¢$0−$9.12$0
Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?Yes309.8¢0¢$0−$2.94$0
Will Lisa Ramirez advance from the CA-40 primary election?Yes209¢0¢$0−$1.80−$0.07

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?26¢1,867$48552%58
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?22¢6,000$1,32052%58
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?21¢500$10552%58
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?21¢4,000$84052%58
BUY NoWill the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?20¢5,000$1,00252%58
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?73.3¢10$7.3352%58
BUY NoWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?26¢245$6452%58
BUY YesWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?25¢7,500$1,87552%58
BUY NoWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?25¢1,987$49752%58
BUY NoWill Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?24¢2,396$57552%58
BUY YesWill Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?70¢505$35452%58
BUY YesWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?19.9¢4,299$85652%58
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?36.7¢4,125$1,51452%58
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?36¢5$1.8052%58
SELL NoWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?27¢7,311$1,97452%58
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?27¢6,917$1,86852%58
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?30¢6,003$1,80152%58
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?27.3¢8,050$2,19952%58
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?27¢5$1.3552%58
SELL NoWill the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?83¢20$1752%58