sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,428

James-Talarico

0x426…abaa
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportCultureOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5,270vol $631k
PnL 30d+$184gains $1,042 · losses $468
PnL 7d−$68win rate 7d 98.7%
Win rate92.1%adj 90.4% · 30d 95.8%
Open value$8,434cash n/a
Positions40 / 1,615open / all-time
Max drawdown−21.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 17h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$6,103below peak −$180Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale53
Adjusted win rateraw 92.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity78

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 40

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes2,22873.7¢65.5¢$1,459−$184$0
Will Wang Mei-hui win the next Chiayi City Mayor election?Yes1,52876.6¢75¢$1,146−$25$0
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes1,53554.2¢53.5¢$821−$10$0
Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?Yes98072.1¢83¢$813+$107+$41
Will Hsieh Kuo-liang win the next Keelung Mayor election?Yes75874.7¢76¢$576+$9.72$0
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Yes50774.9¢75.5¢$383+$2.97$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No59342.3¢64.5¢$382+$132$0
Will John Thune be the next US Senate Minority Leader?No60055¢54.5¢$327−$3.00$0
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes50058.9¢65.1¢$326+$31$0
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No30068¢72.5¢$217+$13$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No30076.3¢71.5¢$215−$14$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes30070.7¢70.5¢$212−$0.50$0
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes30064¢66.5¢$199+$7.50$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes24537.7¢79.5¢$195+$102+$6.06
Will John Cornyn endorse Ken Paxton in the Texas Senate Election?No20078¢87.5¢$175+$19$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes20063¢62.5¢$125−$1.00$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes20059¢61.5¢$123+$5.00$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes20052¢47.5¢$95−$9.00$0
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No8077¢91¢$73+$11+$15
Will Hsu Hsin-ying win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?Yes20035¢34¢$68−$2.00$0
Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?No9369¢69.5¢$65+$0.47$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No6572.9¢90.5¢$59+$11+$82
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 15?No6084¢93.5¢$56+$5.70$0
Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?Yes6074¢88.5¢$53+$8.70$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No20027¢22.5¢$45−$9.00$0
Will Wei Chia-hsien win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?No5080¢87.5¢$44+$3.75$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No20013¢15.5¢$31+$5.00$0
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?Yes12934.6¢23.5¢$30−$14−$16
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes5087¢46¢$23−$21$0
Will Chengdu Rongcheng win Chinese Super League?Yes2399.7¢98.1¢$23−$0.37$0
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?No1997.2¢100¢$18+$0.50$0
Will Waymo launch in San Diego, CA by December 31 2026?Yes2082¢78.5¢$16−$0.70$0
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Yes2249¢49.5¢$11+$0.11$0
Will Chang Chun win the next Hualien County Magistrate election?No1175.4¢95.4¢$11+$2.25+$29
Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election?Yes781¢75¢$5.25−$0.42$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No596.1¢98.7¢$5.13+$0.13$0
Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes2010¢22.5¢$4.50+$2.50$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No293¢96.2¢$2.07+$0.07$0
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?No298¢100¢$2.04+$0.04$0
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?No198.5¢100¢$1.01+$0.01$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Saitama Seibu Lions win the 2026 Japan Series?99.7¢537$53692%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Les Républicains hold 121-124 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?98¢18$1792%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?99.6¢84$8492%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the National Rally group hold 13 or more French Senate seats after the 2026 election?99.6¢245$24492%79Sharp
BUY YesWill the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have between 153 and 157 seats after the 2026 election?99.5¢22$2192%79Sharp
BUY YesWill CDU win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?99.8¢22$2292%79Sharp
BUY YesWill AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?99.6¢30$3092%79Sharp
BUY YesWill AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?99.5¢50$5092%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?91.5¢40$3792%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Botafogo be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?99.6¢183$18292%79Sharp
BUY NoWill FCI Levadia be runner-up in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?99.8¢145$14592%79Sharp
BUY YesWill FCI Levadia win the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?99¢5$5.2192%79Sharp
BUY NoWill FCI Levadia finish 3rd in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?99.6¢243$24292%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedow in Turkmenistan?99¢10$9.9092%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Nikol Pashinyan in Turkmenistan?98¢68$6692%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Nikol Pashinyan in Turkmenistan?94¢120$11392%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Putin hold a bilateral meeting with Nikol Pashinyan in Turkmenistan?92.2¢48$4492%79Sharp
BUY NoOpenAI resumes training by October 10, 2026?98.6¢54$5392%79Sharp
BUY NoWill FC Astana win the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?98.8¢95$9492%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Pärnu JK Vaprus be runner-up in the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?99.8¢25$2592%79Sharp