sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,487

patouossa

0x426…0ef2@PatouossaIbm
PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,355vol $656k
PnL 30d−$48gains $2,933 · losses $1,450
PnL 7d+$165win rate 7d 42.9%
Win rate40.9%adj 42.5% · 30d 37.5%
Open value$72cash n/a
Positions61 / 178open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 10h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$752below peak −$3,981Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 40.9% · shrunk toward 50%6
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 61

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes1,11327¢4.6¢$51−$249$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes1,1895.8¢0.6¢$7.14−$62$0
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,0000.5¢0.4¢$7.00−$3.00$0
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2,0000.5¢0.4¢$7.00−$3.00$0
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No18.1k0.2¢0¢$0−$36−$60
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes14.1k3.2¢0¢$0−$453−$16
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes11.1k0.1¢0¢$0−$15−$0.75
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes10.0k0.1¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.50
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?No6,2330.2¢0¢$0−$14−$0.71
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?No6,0303.8¢0¢$0−$226$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes5,1269.8¢0¢$0−$501−$23
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes4,3673.4¢0¢$0−$150−$7.24
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes3,8010.4¢0¢$0−$15−$0.75
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes3,5951.1¢0¢$0−$38−$1.88
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?Yes3,4872.9¢0¢$0−$102−$4.93
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes3,2792.1¢0¢$0−$69−$3.38
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes3,2742.1¢0¢$0−$70−$3.37
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?Yes3,12527.7¢0¢$0−$865−$31
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?Yes2,8595.6¢0¢$0−$161−$7.50
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes2,8533.5¢0¢$0−$100−$4.82
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes2,7941.8¢0¢$0−$50−$2.46
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2,69912.1¢0¢$0−$326−$14
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes2,6193.8¢0¢$0−$100−$4.81
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes2,2918.7¢0¢$0−$200−$9.13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes2,1965.2¢0¢$0−$115−$5.44
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes2,1610.4¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.45
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes2,1225.4¢0¢$0−$115−$5.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?Yes1,90615.7¢0¢$0−$300−$13
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes1,8063.3¢0¢$0−$60−$2.90
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes1,78818.5¢0¢$0−$331$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 8, 2026?No1,74621.5¢0¢$0−$375−$12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes1,5211.3¢0¢$0−$20−$0.99
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes1,4792¢0¢$0−$29−$1.42
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes1,3862.8¢0¢$0−$38−$1.87
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes1,35221.8¢0¢$0−$294−$11
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Yes1,0771.4¢0¢$0−$15−$0.74
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes1,05642.2¢0¢$0−$446−$13
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?Yes1,0559.5¢0¢$0−$100+$51
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes1,05220¢0¢$0−$210−$8.40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes1,0397.7¢0¢$0−$80−$3.69
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Yes1,03633.8¢0¢$0−$350−$12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes9674.2¢0¢$0−$40−$1.94
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes89821.5¢0¢$0−$193−$7.59
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No8821.1¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.49
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes8507.6¢0¢$0−$65−$2.54
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?Yes8411.7¢0¢$0−$14−$36
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6902.9¢0¢$0−$20−$0.58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?Yes63862.7¢0¢$0−$400−$259
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?Yes61716.2¢0¢$0−$100−$4.19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes61426¢0¢$0−$160−$5.91
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes54738.4¢0¢$0−$210−$6.34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes28736¢0¢$0−$103−$3.30
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?Yes24947.9¢0¢$0−$119−$3.10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes23011.7¢0¢$0−$27−$1.17
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes13914.2¢0¢$0−$20−$12
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026?Yes9410.6¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.36
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Yes8111¢0¢$0−$8.92−$0.40
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-06?Yes2021¢0¢$0−$4.13−$0.16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?Yes1933.7¢0¢$0−$6.26−$0.21

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?5.8¢1,189$6941%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?27¢1,113$30041%27
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.9¢2,446$2,44441%27
BUY YesWill Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0.5¢2,000$1041%27
BUY YesWill Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?0.5¢2,000$1041%27
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?16.5¢2,302$38041%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?17.2¢581$10041%27
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.2¢1,426$2.8541%27
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.1¢1,405$1.4041%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.6¢1,635$1041%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.5¢2,135$1041%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?24.4¢410$10041%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?1.4¢1,421$2041%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?2.2¢406$9.0341%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?2.3¢428$1041%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?2.2¢451$1041%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?4.8¢314$1541%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?11¢544$6041%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?22.2¢478$10641%27
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?22.1¢226$5041%27