PnL all-time+$355kvol $30.3M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate48.1%adj 48.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$4,036cash n/a
Positions5 / 982open / all-time
Max drawdown−42.4%of equity peak
Account age4.4ylast trade 10mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$356kbelow peak −$109kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79
Adjusted win rateraw 48.1% · shrunk toward 50%20
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity58
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yesclosed+$70.8kWas JFK assassination an inside job? · Yesclosed+$57.5kNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? · Noclosed+$53.1kWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? · Yesclosed+$49.0kWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yesclosed+$46.9k
Worst markets
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? · Yesclosed−$125kUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? · Yesclosed−$90.8kTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noclosed−$69.6kWas JFK assassination an inside job? · Noclosed−$46.8kNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$46.7k
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 3,857 | 17.5¢ | 100¢ | $3,857 | +$3,183 | −$3,271 | |
| US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025? | No | 179 | 79.9¢ | 100¢ | $179 | +$36 | −$35 | |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | 7,559 | 21.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,593 | +$2,130 | |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? | Yes | 5,568 | 19.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,095 | +$710 | |
| US national Ethereum reserve in 2025? | Yes | 1,841 | 34.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$638 | +$500 |
Recent trades
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