sharpside
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Traders/Rank #800

M888

0x434…f90d
SharpWhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$253kvol $11.3M
PnL 30d+$2,143gains $3,858 · losses $1,773
PnL 7d+$1,064win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate66.9%adj 66.2% · 30d 51.7%
Open value$228kcash n/a
Positions47 / 1,613open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.3%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$253kbelow peak −$1,213Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 66.9% · shrunk toward 50%66
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 47

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No170k50¢80.2¢$136k+$51.3k$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes170k50¢19.9¢$33.7k−$51.3k$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No31.3k99.2¢99.9¢$31.2k+$189−$1,343
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No7,84293.3¢96.5¢$7,567+$252$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes3,11893.7¢96¢$2,993+$71$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?No2,37768.2¢89¢$2,115+$495+$482
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No10,00013¢14.5¢$1,450+$150$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes9,6917¢14.5¢$1,405+$727+$424
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes20.5k3¢6.5¢$1,330+$716+$105
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes22.2k3¢5.1¢$1,122+$456$0
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No8,20816.5¢11¢$903−$455$0
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No2,11837.7¢42.5¢$900+$101+$134
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No2,22558¢37.5¢$834−$456$0
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes93435.5¢81¢$756+$425$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes3,49020.2¢19.5¢$680−$24$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No12.3k19.8¢4.5¢$555−$1,887$0
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes67971¢81.5¢$554+$71$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No1,90831.4¢28.5¢$544−$56$0
Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?No39681¢94.5¢$374+$53$0
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?Yes2,15929.5¢12.5¢$270−$368+$22
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,69321¢9.5¢$256−$311$0
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?No22088.5¢98.5¢$217+$22$0
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes1,95216.1¢11¢$215−$100$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes50031¢29.5¢$147−$7.50$0
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?Yes1124.2¢100¢$112+$108+$147
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?No12274.4¢91.8¢$112+$21+$30
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes1,51825.8¢6.5¢$99−$293$0
Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Yes1,0009¢9¢$90$0$0
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes11032¢75.5¢$83+$48$0
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes2,16813.3¢3.7¢$80−$207$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes2,34117.4¢3.4¢$80−$328$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes10033¢78¢$78+$45$0
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?No1,95313.4¢4¢$77−$185$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Yes1,24515.2¢5.5¢$68−$120$0
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes6402¢10.6¢$68+$55$0
Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?Yes4997¢10¢$50+$15$0
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Yes40811¢7.5¢$31−$14$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes2,3261.6¢0.9¢$20−$17$0
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes3005¢6.3¢$19+$3.76$0
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes1004¢14.5¢$15+$11$0
Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes1183.1¢4.7¢$5.50+$1.80$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?Yes2,1101.8¢0.1¢$2.11−$36$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Yes5116.8¢4¢$2.03−$6.49$0
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes1,10810.4¢0.1¢$0.55−$115$0
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?No5,22799.1¢0¢$0−$5,180−$161
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes1,0009.6¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?Yes73914.3¢0¢$0−$106−$3.62

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027?3.1¢118$3.6967%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?82.6¢992$82067%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?2¢640$1367%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?7¢10.7k$74867%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.3¢5,000$4,96567%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?21¢1,097$23067%79Sharp
SELL YesWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?0.2¢24$0.0567%79Sharp
SELL YesFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 20260.5¢336$1.6867%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?14¢4,000$56067%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in September 2026?95.7¢1,412$1,35167%79Sharp
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?14¢316$4467%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?0.2¢411$0.8267%79Sharp
SELL NoWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?0.5¢102$0.5167%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?1.6¢250$4.0567%79Sharp
SELL YesWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?5¢43$2.1567%79Sharp
SELL YesWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?6.5¢31$2.0167%79Sharp
SELL YesWill Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?8¢316$2567%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?8.2¢513$4267%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?25.1¢166$4267%79Sharp
BUY YesWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?6.6¢647$4367%79Sharp