sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,004

dresden77

0x437…dfa4
Whale1y+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$30.4kvol $752k
PnL 30d−$5,217gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,397win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 56.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$37.7kcash n/a
Positions13 / 18open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.0ylast trade 1y ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$39.7kbelow peak −$42.2kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

9/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable42
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 13

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes99.8k27¢19.9¢$19.8k−$7,186$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes36.8k54.4¢48.6¢$17.8k−$2,153$0
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes167k3¢0¢$0−$5,000$0
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes71.9k13.9¢0¢$0−$10,000$0
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes53.7k14¢0¢$0−$7,506−$1,916
Will Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes41.4k11.5¢0¢$0−$4,756$0
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes29.8k1¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes10.3k19.4¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes6,68615¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?Yes4,71910.6¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?No3,44558.1¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes2,72336.7¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionNo1,14543.7¢0¢$0−$500$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?88.1¢3,405$3,00080%9
SELL YesWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?6.3¢25.0k$1,57880%9
BUY YesWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?0.9¢23.4k$20080%9
BUY YesWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?11.6¢8,653$1,00080%9
BUY YesWill The Life of a Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the top Spotify album for 2025?10.6¢4,719$50080%9
BUY YesWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?19.4¢10.3k$2,00080%9
SELL NoWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?81.5¢6,550$5,33980%9
BUY YesWill Bruno Mars be the top Spotify artist for 2025?11.5¢41.4k$4,75680%9
BUY YesWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?13.9¢71.9k$10.0k80%9
BUY NoWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?58.1¢3,445$2,00080%9
BUY YesWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?13.1¢38.1k$5,00080%9
BUY YesWill Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?15¢6,686$1,00080%9
BUY YesWill Curtis Sliwa drop out?36.7¢2,723$1,00080%9
BUY YesWill Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?1.6¢6,391$10080%9
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?3¢167k$5,00080%9
SELL YesWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?35.6¢68.7k$24.5k80%9Whale
BUY NoWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?69.9¢14.3k$9,99280%9
BUY YesWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?15.6¢32.0k$5,00080%9
BUY NoNothing Ever Happens: AI Edition43.7¢1,145$50080%9
BUY NoWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?64.8¢4,628$3,00080%9