sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,897

Started-with-20-USD

0x438…5050
SharpPnL 10k+OtherSportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$48.3kvol $1.14M
PnL 30d+$13.9kgains $21.2k · losses $12.3k
PnL 7d+$3,175win rate 7d 47.3%
Win rate53.8%adj 53.7% · 30d 55.1%
Open value$30.0kcash n/a
Positions252 / 3,388open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 16h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$59.0kbelow peak −$1,027Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 53.8% · shrunk toward 50%34
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?Yes3,13525.2¢51¢$1,599+$808$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% before 2027?No67474.2¢92¢$621+$120+$27
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 180 and 209 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No65690.5¢93.1¢$611+$17$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?No63972¢93.5¢$597+$138$0
Will Heated Rivalry rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?No1,07059.4¢55.5¢$594−$42$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by December 31?No60680.4¢97.7¢$592+$104+$7.78
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?Yes2,24812.8¢26¢$585+$297$0
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Yes64513.4¢87.1¢$562+$476$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?No60469.8¢90.5¢$547+$125$0
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?Lockheed Martin72727.9¢75¢$545+$342+$431
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?No65477.2¢81.5¢$533+$28$0
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?No68559.8¢71.5¢$490+$80$0
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or below $5 in 2026?No48674¢99.5¢$483+$124$0
Will Bad Bunny be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No56979.6¢81¢$461+$8.08−$4.55
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?No76157.2¢51.5¢$392−$43−$44
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by a cactus?No41190.4¢95¢$390+$19$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?No42561.9¢90.5¢$385+$122+$0.83
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No1,69421.9¢22.5¢$381+$11$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?No92522¢41¢$379+$175+$8.13
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Yes1,00041¢37.5¢$375−$35$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?No37981.7¢98.7¢$374+$64$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by powder snow?No53787.8¢67.6¢$363−$109$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?No38782¢92¢$356+$39+$4.87
Will more than 625,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?No36375.5¢95.3¢$346+$72+$1.32
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No39343.6¢82¢$322+$151$0
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $500B and $750B at the end of October 2026?No32293.9¢99.8¢$321+$19$0
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of October 2026?No31963.8¢99.5¢$317+$114$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026?No86940.7¢36.4¢$317−$37$0
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation fall below 1,028 ft?No56346.1¢55.5¢$312+$53+$85
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?No43266¢71.5¢$309+$24$0
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.25% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No34472.4¢89.5¢$308+$59+$2.77
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.5B by December 31?No42030.3¢71.5¢$300+$173$0
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026?Yes34777.6¢86.5¢$300+$31+$11
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.50 and $4.00 on December 31, 2026?No31284.6¢91.8¢$287+$22$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No30068¢89.5¢$269+$65−$19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No28292.6¢94.5¢$266+$5.32$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.20% before 2027?No32929.6¢80¢$263+$166$0
Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?No30250.8¢87¢$263+$109$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?No59516.4¢43.5¢$259+$161$0
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?No27956.4¢92.5¢$258+$101+$0.26
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Yes44330.3¢56.9¢$252+$118+$36
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes36059¢69.5¢$250+$38−$76
Will Lake Mead's minimum elevation be at least 1,028 but below 1,033 ft?No42558.4¢55.5¢$235−$13−$22
Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 7.70 ft MLLW or more?Yes36145.7¢63.5¢$229+$64+$3.18
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes53818.5¢42.4¢$228+$129+$141
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?Yes24091.4¢94.7¢$227+$8.00−$49
Will the peak wind gust in Wellington be 86 to 95 km/h in October?No37839.5¢59.5¢$225+$76+$13
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?Yes60154.7¢35.5¢$213−$115$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $65B by December 31?No22285.3¢96.1¢$213+$24$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,45921.9¢14.5¢$212−$108$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes38775.1¢54.5¢$211−$80+$50
Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Yes41931.2¢50.2¢$211+$80$0
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 7.50% (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?Yes27663.1¢72.5¢$200+$26$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?No32585¢60.5¢$197−$80$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?No21748.4¢88.5¢$192+$87$0
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be 4,189.5 or 4,189.6 ft?No44070.6¢43.5¢$191−$119$0
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?No35357.1¢52.5¢$185−$16+$48
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?No20853.3¢86¢$179+$68$0
Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026?No27033¢65¢$176+$86$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a zombified piglin?No35052¢50¢$175−$7.00$0
Will Claude Sonnet's output price be at or below $8 in 2026?No25073¢69¢$173−$10+$7.36
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?No17575¢98¢$171+$40+$45
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Yes29960.3¢56¢$167−$13+$69
Will SB Energy IPO by October 31, 2026?No20335.1¢81¢$165+$93$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026?No19779¢83.5¢$164+$8.86+$53
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?No16089.8¢98.8¢$159+$14$0
Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?No30326.4¢52.1¢$158+$78+$180
Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?Yes70028.6¢22.5¢$157−$42$0
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?No17075.3¢91.5¢$156+$28$0
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?No16073.6¢97¢$155+$37+$8.55
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $10 in 2026?No19768.5¢76¢$150+$15−$35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?No39052.5¢37.5¢$146−$58$0
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Yes45022.6¢31¢$139+$38+$165
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Yes29330.5¢46.5¢$136+$47$0
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?Yes2,9276.2¢4.5¢$132−$50$0
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?Yes3035¢43¢$130+$115+$87
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31?Yes26831¢47.5¢$127+$44$0
All-time Pacific Category 5 hurricane record broken in 2026?No28737.6¢41.5¢$119+$11$0
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar?Hadjar30110.7¢39.1¢$118+$86+$17
Will His & Hers rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?No16554.7¢70.5¢$117+$26+$3.62
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?No19659.3¢59¢$116−$0.50$0
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be 2.5 or above?No66554.8¢17¢$113−$251$0
Beezie FDV above $50M one day after launch?No41719.8¢27¢$113+$30$0
Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Yes60029¢18.5¢$111−$63$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?No17827.9¢61¢$109+$59$0
Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?No35866¢30¢$107−$129$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a piglin?Yes26149.4¢40.5¢$106−$23$0
Will Alysa Liu rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?No14055.6¢75.5¢$106+$28$0
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.00% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No11076.3¢94¢$104+$20+$2.19
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Yes58117.1¢17.8¢$103+$4.29$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?No14734.6¢69¢$102+$51+$97
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?No15558¢64.5¢$100+$10$0
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?No17353¢55.5¢$96+$4.32$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31?Yes15040¢63¢$95+$35$0
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T?Yes13156.5¢71.5¢$94+$20−$11
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?No36236.1¢25¢$91−$40$0
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?No13154.2¢66.5¢$87+$16$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?No43013.9¢20¢$86+$26+$61
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0150 by December 31, 2026?Yes5908¢14.5¢$86+$38$0
Will Anthropic's frontier output token price be at or below $15 in 2026?Yes17442¢47¢$82+$8.70$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 180 and 209 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?90.5¢656$59454%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?85¢325$27754%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by powder snow?87.8¢537$47254%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by a cactus?90.4¢411$37254%72Sharp
SELL YesWill the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?26.7¢479$12854%72Sharp
BUY YesWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?55.2¢95$5254%72Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?22¢955$21154%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026?37.4¢622$23354%72Sharp
BUY NoWill downtown LA's 100°F streak last exactly six days?83.9¢45$3854%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a blaze?51¢40$2054%72Sharp
SELL YesWill US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?74¢120$8954%72Sharp
BUY YesWill the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?32.8¢398$13154%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los be eliminated by drowning?60.3¢150$9154%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a zombified piglin?52¢350$18254%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a wither skeleton?49.2¢211$10454%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a piglin?49.4¢261$12954%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 11?30¢340$10254%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $13.5B by December 31?76.1¢50$3854%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?10.7¢125$1354%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?28¢150$4254%72Sharp