PnL all-time+$5,939vol $380k
PnL 30d+$361gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$161win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 56.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$20.6kcash n/a
Positions11 / 14open / all-time
Max drawdown−63.9%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$7,789below peak −$4,437Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale54
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable38
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity36
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen+$3,281Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Noclosed+$2,149Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Noclosed+$448 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Noopen+$337Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$288
Worst markets
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5,600 | 92¢ | 97.2¢ | $5,440 | +$288 | $0 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 5,600 | 93.9¢ | 95.9¢ | $5,370 | +$110 | $0 | |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 5,700 | 88¢ | 89.5¢ | $5,102 | +$86 | $0 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 2,200 | 73.7¢ | 89¢ | $1,958 | +$337 | $0 | |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 1,200 | 85¢ | 90.5¢ | $1,086 | +$66 | $0 | |
| Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | No | 1,000 | 96¢ | 97.7¢ | $977 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 250 | 79¢ | 92.5¢ | $232 | +$34 | $0 | |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | No | 200 | 87¢ | 96.6¢ | $193 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 165 | 95.4¢ | 97.2¢ | $160 | +$2.97 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 500 | 13¢ | 9.5¢ | $48 | −$18 | $0 | |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 186 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$28 | +$3,309 |
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