sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,628

shred7777

0x43c…9211
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$9,745vol $180k
PnL 30d+$859gains $1,070 · losses $416
PnL 7d+$4,353win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate87.3%adj 84.4% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$14.2kcash n/a
Positions45 / 282open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.3%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 12d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$11.3kbelow peak −$28Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 87.3% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d60
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 45

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No1,70094¢98.1¢$1,668+$70$0
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?No1,02970.4¢97.4¢$1,003+$278$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No82143¢83.5¢$686+$333$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No70088¢96.7¢$677+$61−$1.00
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No59491¢94.5¢$562+$21$0
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?No44378.1¢88.5¢$392+$46$0
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?No40091¢97.7¢$391+$27$0
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?No45978.9¢84.5¢$388+$25$0
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? No40094.8¢96.5¢$386+$6.80$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?No41873.6¢91¢$380+$73$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No40068.5¢92¢$368+$94$0
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?No37181.1¢96.9¢$360+$59$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No36092.4¢96.7¢$348+$15$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No34292¢94¢$321+$6.83$0
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No33088.4¢95.5¢$315+$24$0
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?No33095.9¢93.5¢$309−$7.95$0
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No31392.2¢96.2¢$301+$13$0
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No30992.2¢97.2¢$300+$15$0
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?No31190.7¢96.2¢$299+$17$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No31374¢94¢$294+$63$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No30078¢97.8¢$293+$59$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?No30090¢97.4¢$292+$22$0
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No30086¢95.9¢$288+$30$0
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No30095¢95.7¢$287+$2.10$0
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?No26995¢97.6¢$262+$6.99$0
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?No26877.6¢97.9¢$262+$54$0
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?No24092.6¢96.9¢$233+$10$0
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?No30070¢76.5¢$230+$20$0
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No22578.8¢96.4¢$217+$40$0
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?No23092.4¢93.5¢$215+$2.45$0
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No22293.9¢95.8¢$213+$4.25$0
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No22493¢95.1¢$213+$4.64$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes20080¢94.5¢$189+$29$0
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No18286.5¢95.1¢$173+$15$0
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?No20090¢81.5¢$163−$17$0
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?No16096¢95.9¢$153−$0.16$0
Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?No14578.7¢93.5¢$136+$22$0
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?No10993¢94.8¢$104+$1.97$0
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No10094.8¢98.3¢$98+$3.50$0
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?No15071¢65.5¢$98−$8.25$0
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No10022¢94.5¢$95+$73$0
Will Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?No10091¢89.5¢$90−$1.50$0
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No8594.2¢97.1¢$83+$2.48$0
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?No8472¢94.7¢$80+$19$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes20027¢8.5¢$17−$37$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?91¢100$9187%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?96¢160$15487%74Sharp
BUY NoUkraine election called by December 31, 2026?93¢109$10287%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?70¢300$21087%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?90¢200$18087%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?27¢200$5487%74Sharp
BUY YesWill voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?25.3¢200$5187%74Sharp
SELL YesWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?74.6¢80$6087%74Sharp
SELL YesWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?74.8¢80$6087%74Sharp
SELL YesWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?76¢30$2387%74Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?90¢100$9087%74Sharp
BUY YesWill New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?44¢120$5387%74Sharp
BUY YesWill Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) finish second on the party-list vote in Moscow?89¢454$40487%74Sharp
BUY YesWill United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?52¢20$1087%74Sharp
BUY YesRussia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?63.9¢332$21287%74Sharp
BUY YesWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?96¢141$13587%74Sharp
BUY YesWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?75.1¢200$15087%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?90¢300$27087%74Sharp
BUY NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?95¢300$28587%74Sharp
BUY NoNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?93.9¢222$20987%74Sharp