sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Roro22

0x43f…35e5
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsWeatherOtherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.0kvol $544k
PnL 30d+$197gains $1,450 · losses $4,860
PnL 7d−$321win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate72.9%adj 72.1% · 30d 40.6%
Open value$11.5kcash n/a
Positions42 / 741open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.7%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$10.1kbelow peak −$362Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 72.9% · shrunk toward 50%80
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$1,539Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yesclosed+$856Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$423Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May? · Noclosed+$396Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$377

Worst markets

Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? · Yesclosed−$1,109Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yesopen−$716Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? · Noclosed−$631Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026? · Yesclosed−$594Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30? · Noclosed−$505

Open positions · 42

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?No3,11798.8¢99¢$3,085+$4.20+$14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No1,20099.1¢99.2¢$1,190+$0.60+$17
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?No93492¢92.9¢$867+$8.00+$2.04
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?No89888.5¢90.9¢$816+$22+$8.09
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026?Yes96466.5¢76.5¢$738+$97+$3.05
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?No70894.8¢93.7¢$663−$7.99+$4.11
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?No59272.8¢71.5¢$423−$7.98+$109
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be at least 0.6%?No34994¢99.3¢$347+$18+$1.72
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government?No1,09638.5¢31.5¢$345−$76$0
Will there be under 25 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?No37698.9¢84.8¢$319−$53$0
Will MrBeast hit 522 million subscribers by October 31?Yes30795.5¢99.7¢$306+$13+$8.29
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes46164.5¢65.5¢$302+$4.70$0
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?Yes1,01017.1¢24.5¢$247+$75$0
Will there be 125 or more tornadoes in the US in September 2026?No24899.1¢98.5¢$244−$1.61$0
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 260M by October 30, 2026?No19990¢96.5¢$192+$13+$3.99
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes1,12563.6¢14.5¢$163−$552−$163
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) be in the next Swedish government?No18084¢81.5¢$147−$4.50$0
Will there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?Yes18897.9¢76¢$143−$41$0
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?Yes1,23314.2¢10.5¢$129−$45$0
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes23340.1¢47.5¢$111+$17$0
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?Yes39425.3¢26.5¢$104+$4.76$0
Will MrBeast hit 523 million subscribers by October 31?Yes10597.3¢97.2¢$102−$0.14$0
Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?No9090.9¢98.4¢$89+$6.72$0
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%?Yes38715.1¢17.5¢$68+$9.46$0
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?No10273.6¢57.5¢$58−$16$0
Will there be between 25 and 49 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?No5898.1¢87.6¢$51−$6.08$0
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Yes17247.9¢28.5¢$49−$33−$11
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes16822.4¢22.5¢$38+$0.12$0
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?Yes13418.7¢25¢$33+$8.47$0
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 270M by October 30, 2026?Yes28722.9¢8.5¢$24−$41$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?No8030.7¢27.5¢$22−$2.60$0
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.6M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes1526.7¢10.7¢$16+$5.98$0
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C?Yes1414¢9.1¢$13+$7.21+$1.40
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?Yes16210.1¢7.2¢$12−$4.73−$0.26
Will USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes6315¢15.5¢$9.75+$0.31$0
Will USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes5013.3¢17.3¢$8.65+$2.00$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes559.5¢8.6¢$4.73−$0.47$0
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + KD?Yes2002.2¢0.7¢$1.40−$2.97$0
Will USD be between 2.4M and 2.5M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes352.8¢2.4¢$0.83−$0.17$0
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + L?Yes1692¢0.3¢$0.51−$2.88$0
Will USD be less than 2.3M Iranian rials on October 31?Yes711.4¢0.5¢$0.35−$0.65$0
Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?Yes68023.7¢0¢$0−$161$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill MrBeast hit 523 million subscribers by October 31?91¢5$4.5573%78Sharp
BUY YesWill MrBeast hit 523 million subscribers by October 31?97.6¢100$9873%78Sharp
BUY YesWill there be between 50 and 74 tornadoes in the US in September 2026?98.1¢75$7373%78Sharp
SELL YesWill the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?34¢75$2673%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on October 31, 2026?25.3¢394$10073%78Sharp
BUY YesWill Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?37.2¢66$2473%78Sharp
BUY NoWill Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be at least 0.6%?94¢382$35973%78Sharp
BUY YesWill USD be between 2.6M and 2.7M Iranian rials on October 31?13.3¢50$6.6573%78Sharp
BUY YesWill USD be between 2.7M and 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?15¢63$9.4473%78Sharp
BUY YesWill USD be between 2.5M and 2.6M Iranian rials on October 31?6.7¢152$1073%78Sharp
BUY YesWill USD be between 2.4M and 2.5M Iranian rials on October 31?2.8¢35$1.0073%78Sharp
BUY YesWill USD be less than 2.3M Iranian rials on October 31?1.4¢71$1.0073%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on October 31, 2026?64.5¢461$29773%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?18.7¢134$2573%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on October 31, 2026?22.4¢168$3873%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?73.6¢102$7573%78Sharp
BUY NoWill the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?30.8¢80$2573%78Sharp
BUY YesWill the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on December 31, 2026?9.5¢55$5.2073%78Sharp
BUY YesWill MrBeast hit 522 million subscribers by October 31?95.5¢508$48573%78Sharp
SELL NoKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?99¢2,049$2,02973%78Sharp