Traders/Rank #24,426

WALLYFIGHTS

0x445…9be0

WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$113kvol $7.95M

PnL 30d−$15.5kgains $18.1k · losses $54.6k

PnL 7d−$633win rate 7d 59.3%

Win rate71.9%adj 71.1% · 30d 69.3%

Open value$29.2kcash n/a

Positions30 / 1,981open / all-time

Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak

Account age1.8ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$109kbelow peak −$121kOct 13

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 71.9% · shrunk toward 50%78

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Max Hollowayclosed+$6,801 UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) · Paddy Pimblettclosed+$2,546 Spread: Missouri (-5.5) · Missouriclosed+$2,462 Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? · Yesclosed+$2,415 Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5 · Underclosed+$2,254

Worst markets

Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 · Overclosed−$12.7k US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$5,659 UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) · Anthony Hernandezclosed−$5,280 Spread: Texas (-1.5) · Texasclosed−$4,590 O/U 2.5 Rounds · Overclosed−$3,531

Open positions · 30

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	5,667	82.1¢	82.5¢	$4,675	+$22	+$551	3mo
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	3,000	50¢	98¢	$2,939	+$1,439	+$30	25mo
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	3,000	50¢	95.5¢	$2,864	+$1,364	$0	25mo
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	3,000	55.9¢	93.7¢	$2,811	+$1,134	$0	25mo
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	2,212	50¢	98.3¢	$2,173	+$1,067	$0	25mo
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	13.9k	21.8¢	15.5¢	$2,151	−$886	−$8.38	25mo
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	2,000	85.2¢	96.2¢	$1,923	+$219	+$223	3mo
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	1,916	86.5¢	90.5¢	$1,734	+$77	+$25	20d 19h
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	1,200	50¢	96.9¢	$1,163	+$563	$0	25mo
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	2,280	91.2¢	47.5¢	$1,083	−$997	$0	31d 19h
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	1,200	50¢	86.9¢	$1,042	+$442	$0	25mo
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	12.3k	2.9¢	6.3¢	$766	+$407	$0	6mo
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	20.0k	1.4¢	3.6¢	$710	+$430	$0	6mo
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3,200	25.1¢	22.2¢	$709	−$93	+$30	25mo
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	No	500	96¢	98.9¢	$494	+$14	$0	3mo
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	1,100	10.7¢	44.2¢	$486	+$368	$0	16d 19h
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?	Yes	5,240	28.2¢	6.5¢	$341	−$1,136	$0	3mo
Will Vanderbilt Make the 2026-27 CFB Playoffs?	No	330	92.9¢	96.6¢	$319	+$12	$0	ended
Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?	Yes	980	22¢	18.5¢	$181	−$34	$0	5mo
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	200	50¢	89.6¢	$179	+$79	$0	25mo
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?	Yes	1,186	50.5¢	12¢	$142	−$457	+$183	3mo
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	No	106	59.5¢	77¢	$82	+$19	+$0.14	3mo
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	Yes	1,000	30¢	5.9¢	$58	−$241	$0	3mo
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	19.1k	1.1¢	0.3¢	$48	−$167	+$20	25mo
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	5,488	0.7¢	0.9¢	$47	+$9.36	+$56	25mo
Will the Minnesota Wild be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?	Yes	733	5¢	5¢	$37	$0	+$2.84	9mo
Will Miami Hurricanes Win the 2026 ACC Championship?	Yes	33	64.2¢	79.5¢	$26	+$5.07	$0	ended
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?	No	20	96.7¢	97¢	$19	+$0.05	$0	5mo
Will Arch Manning win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	100	5¢	4¢	$3.95	−$1.05	$0	ended
Will Julian Sayin win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?	Yes	100	4¢	0.5¢	$0.55	−$3.45	$0	2mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
2d ago	BUY Jaguars	Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)	51¢	350	$179	72%	38
3d ago	BUY Texas	Texas vs. Oklahoma	75¢	1,100	$825	72%	38
4d ago	BUY BYU	Iowa State vs. BYU	80¢	845	$676	72%	38
6d ago	BUY Capitals	Penguins vs. Capitals	58¢	676	$392	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-1.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-2.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-3.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-4.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-5.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-6.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-7.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-8.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-10.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-13.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-14.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-16.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-17.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
8d ago	BUY Northwestern	Spread: Ball State (-20.5)	99¢	10	$9.90	72%	38
9d ago	SELL Yes	Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	0.4¢	7,099	$28	72%	38
9d ago	BUY Vikings	Spread: Vikings (-9.5)	52¢	2,222	$1,156	72%	38