PnL all-time−$6.32vol $26.5k
PnL 30d+$0.18gains $0 · losses $0.12
PnL 7d+$0.18win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate76.9%adj 65.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$61cash n/a
Positions8 / 36open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.9%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 14h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$5.31below peak −$48Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 76.9% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? · Noclosed−$25Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yesclosed−$10Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$5.50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14? · Yesopen−$2.14Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Downopen−$1.07
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 31 | 96¢ | 95.5¢ | $30 | −$0.16 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | No | 20 | 97.7¢ | 99.4¢ | $20 | +$0.34 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Down | 6 | 87¢ | 100¢ | $5.75 | +$0.75 | −$0.05 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Up | 5 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $5.15 | +$0.15 | −$0.01 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14? | Yes | 77 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | −$0.14 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | Down | 50 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.07 | |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May? | Yes | 7 | 13.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.06 | |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 2 | 42¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.02 |
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