sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,522

0x44vanz

0x44a…c3b9
Whale1y+Sport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$16.8kvol $1.97M
PnL 30d+$7,958gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$291win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.0%adj 51.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$45.7kcash n/a
Positions57 / 557open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$7,146below peak −$14.8kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

33/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.0% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Noclosed+$12.7kWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed+$8,569Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship? · Yesclosed+$7,795Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship? · Yesclosed+$6,896Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yesclosed+$6,441

Worst markets

NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Knicks (To Advance) · Celticsclosed−$9,030Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yesclosed−$8,214Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yesopen−$7,434Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yesclosed−$5,767Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%? · Yesopen−$4,503

Open positions · 57

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes25.5k87.6¢96.1¢$24.5k+$2,155+$555
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes31.2k37.4¢58¢$18.1k+$6,387$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo3,40083¢91.5¢$3,111+$289−$200
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes99.4k7.5¢0¢$0−$7,434$0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes20.0k10¢0¢$0−$2,006−$1.89
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?Yes18.7k4.1¢0¢$0−$769$0
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes10.6k2.6¢0¢$0−$278$0
Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes9,4120.6¢0¢$0−$58$0
76ers vs. CelticsCeltics7,90034.5¢0¢$0−$2,723−$19
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes6,93453.2¢0¢$0−$3,691−$812
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes3,1505.9¢0¢$0−$187$0
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes2,9798¢0¢$0−$239$0
Rockets vs. JazzRockets2,40084.6¢0¢$0−$2,030$0
Nets vs. 76ers76ers2,30977.8¢0¢$0−$1,795−$1.20
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes2,01336.7¢0¢$0−$739$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?Yes1,80226.6¢0¢$0−$480−$1,086
Rockets vs. PelicansRockets1,53581.8¢0¢$0−$1,256$0
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes1,30032.9¢0¢$0−$428$0
Nuggets vs. 76ers76ers1,20087.6¢0¢$0−$1,052−$127
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. Hawks Hawks1,00020¢0¢$0−$200$0
Celtics vs. WizardsWizards1,00020.5¢0¢$0−$205$0
Hawks vs. KnicksKnicks1,00042¢0¢$0−$420$0
Clippers vs. ThunderClippers1,0009¢0¢$0−$90$0
Nuggets vs. MavericksNuggets1,00034¢0¢$0−$340$0
Timberwolves vs. NuggetsNuggets1,00070¢0¢$0−$700$0
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes9156.7¢0¢$0−$61$0
Celtics vs. 76ersCeltics90068¢0¢$0−$612$0
Raptors vs. CavaliersRaptors82122.1¢0¢$0−$181−$2.89
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Rockets80049¢0¢$0−$392$0
Texans vs. ChargersChargers70016¢0¢$0−$112$0
Lakers vs. 76ers76ers60029.3¢0¢$0−$176$0
Rockets vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Under60050¢0¢$0−$300$0
Hawks vs. HornetsHawks50049¢0¢$0−$245$0
76ers vs. CelticsCeltics50082¢0¢$0−$410$0
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics50053¢0¢$0−$265$0
Raptors vs. CavaliersRaptors50024¢0¢$0−$120−$2.74
Clippers vs. ThunderClippers50011¢0¢$0−$55$0
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Wizards50049¢0¢$0−$245$0
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder50055.6¢0¢$0−$278$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?No45181.5¢0¢$0−$367−$2,572
Rockets vs. Trail BlazersRockets40068¢0¢$0−$272$0
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets40051¢0¢$0−$204$0
Hawks vs. KnicksHawks39631.8¢0¢$0−$126$0
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Hawks39555.5¢0¢$0−$219$0
Ole Miss vs. GeorgiaGeorgia30061¢0¢$0−$183$0
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder30047¢0¢$0−$141$0
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder30081¢0¢$0−$243−$42
Rockets vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Under30052¢0¢$0−$156$0
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)76ers24947¢0¢$0−$117$0
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes20024.5¢0¢$0−$49$0
Rockets vs. HawksHawks20031¢0¢$0−$62$0
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)Nuggets19750.8¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will the Dallas Mavericks win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes17752¢0¢$0−$92−$7.28
Rockets vs. NuggetsRockets10035¢0¢$0−$35+$74
76ers vs. Hawks76ers10038¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No10050¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will the Boston Celtics win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?No8050¢0¢$0−$40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?91¢6,859$6,24252%33
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?36.7¢27.3k$10.0k52%33Whale
SELL YesWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?92.6¢10.0k$9,25952%33
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House83¢3,400$2,82252%33
SELL NoWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?99.1¢2,883$2,85752%33
BUY YesWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?87.9¢10.6k$9,30452%33
SELL NoWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?99.2¢9,636$9,55952%33
BUY YesWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?87.5¢23.6k$20.6k52%33Whale
BUY YesWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?87.4¢2,781$2,43052%33
BUY NoWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?90.2¢6,649$6,00052%33
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?45.4¢529$24052%33
BUY NoWill Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?96¢68$6552%33
BUY NoWill Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?96¢2,605$2,50152%33
SELL NoWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?97¢11.5k$11.1k52%33Whale
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?30.4¢226$6952%33
BUY YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?27¢220$5952%33
BUY NoWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?78¢148$11652%33
SELL YesWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?3.1¢1,577$4952%33
BUY NoWill Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?81¢93$7552%33
SELL YesWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?3¢2,613$7852%33