sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,663

Loyalty-Crash

0x44d…4c1a
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$84.5kvol $1.29M
PnL 30d+$13.7kgains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,328win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate53.2%adj 52.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$92.9kcash n/a
Positions19 / 192open / all-time
Max drawdown−23.4%of equity peak
Account age4.5ylast trade 3mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$110kbelow peak −$2,914Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 53.2% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes60.7k45.6¢63.5¢$38.6k+$10.9k$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes23.4k45.6¢63.5¢$14.9k+$4,186$0
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No16.1k46.4¢64.5¢$10.4k+$2,921$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No10.3k54.8¢94.5¢$9,757+$4,098$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No10.0k83¢97.2¢$9,715+$1,415$0
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No4,09191.2¢97.4¢$3,985+$254$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes4,90024.5¢38.5¢$1,886+$686$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes3,14538¢44.5¢$1,400+$204$0
Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes1,91347.9¢49.5¢$947+$30$0
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No1,00642¢65.5¢$659+$236$0
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No63280¢95.3¢$602+$96$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No28028¢28.5¢$80+$1.40$0
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No38.8k18.3¢0¢$0−$7,091−$176
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes9,00045¢0¢$0−$4,050+$20
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by between 3% and 6%?Yes8,0008¢0¢$0−$640$0
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?No4,00216¢0¢$0−$639−$21
Will Thomas Massie win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by less than 3%?Yes2,20022¢0¢$0−$484$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No1,59262.3¢0¢$0−$991−$433
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No1,35667.1¢0¢$0−$910$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?98.7¢5,592$5,51953%54
SELL YesWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.1¢68.4k$72153%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?16¢3,941$63153%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?14¢61$8.4953%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?11.9¢17.1k$2,04253%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?13¢500$6553%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?13¢12.1k$1,57953%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?13¢60$7.8053%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?12.2¢215$2653%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?36.8¢210$7753%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?39.1¢252$9853%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?39.1¢24$9.2053%54
BUY YesWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1.2¢68.4k$82153%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?39.6¢23$9.0953%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?39.6¢741$29353%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?39.9¢1,771$70753%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?39¢477$18653%54
BUY NoWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?38.8¢1,274$49453%54
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?95¢22.2k$21.1k53%54Whale
SELL YesWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?68¢644$43853%54