PnL all-time−$255vol $11.0k
PnL 30d+$0.06gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.03win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$680cash n/a
Positions8 / 16open / all-time
Max drawdown−32.5%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$253below peak −$323Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable40
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Iran leadership change by March 31? · Noopen+$55Iran leadership change by March 13? · Noopen+$28Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · Yesclosed+$17Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed+$2.91Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$1.54
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | 403 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $403 | +$28 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | 216 | 74.5¢ | 100¢ | $216 | +$55 | $0 | |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 29 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $29 | +$0.09 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 19 | 89¢ | 97¢ | $19 | +$1.54 | $0 | |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | 6 | 82.1¢ | 100¢ | $6.22 | +$1.11 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 4 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $4.08 | +$0.41 | $0 | |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31? | No | 2 | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | $1.96 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 252 | 46.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$118 | −$0.64 |
Recent trades
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