sharpside
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Traders/Rank #686

Nowhere-Man

0x455…a2b3
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$294kvol $33.7M
PnL 30d+$1,759gains $1,804 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$44win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate76.3%adj 75.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$5,471cash n/a
Positions16 / 809open / all-time
Max drawdown−11.4%of equity peak
Account age5.3ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$307kbelow peak −$32.3kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

83/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale78
Adjusted win rateraw 76.3% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity89

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 16

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No8,89662¢61.5¢$5,471−$44+$2.40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No3,10060.3¢0¢$0−$1,869$0
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?Yes1,4494.6¢0¢$0−$67$0
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?Yes1,3454.6¢0¢$0−$62−$3.18
Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?Yes1,2664.6¢0¢$0−$59−$5.96
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes1,2274.6¢0¢$0−$57+$0.59
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?Yes1,0494.6¢0¢$0−$49−$8.98
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes96858¢0¢$0−$562+$26
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025?Yes8494.6¢0¢$0−$39−$16
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?Yes8494.6¢0¢$0−$39−$11
Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?Yes8494.6¢0¢$0−$39−$17
Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes8494.6¢0¢$0−$39−$10
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?Yes8494.6¢0¢$0−$39−$6.82
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?Yes8494.6¢0¢$0−$39−$15
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?Yes8454.6¢0¢$0−$39−$13
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?No1757¢0¢$0−$9.69$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?62¢8,896$5,51576%83Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83¢222$18476%83Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83¢2,400$1,99276%83Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?48¢1,167$56076%83Sharp
BUY NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?75¢125$9476%83Sharp
BUY NoMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?99.6¢1,867$1,86076%83Sharp
BUY NoWill UK strike Iran by April 30?99¢5$4.9576%83Sharp
BUY NoWill UK strike Iran by April 30?98.5¢351$34576%83Sharp
SELL YesTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?60¢532$31976%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?60.7¢2,000$1,21476%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?60¢100$6076%83Sharp
BUY NoWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?92¢1,573$1,44776%83Sharp
BUY NoWill Germany strike Iran by April 30?97.1¢51$5076%83Sharp
SELL NoUS forces in Yemen in 2025?97.6¢16$1676%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025?0.1¢849$0.8576%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?0.7¢669$4.6976%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?92¢196$18176%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?5¢689$3476%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?5.7¢160$9.0476%83Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon and DOGE cut more than $250b in federal spending in 2025?3.5¢1,044$3676%83Sharp