sharpside
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TelAvivQuant

0x458…c4be
PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.9kvol $561k
PnL 30d+$754gains $288 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$221win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate72.5%adj 68.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$18.3kcash n/a
Positions17 / 97open / all-time
Max drawdown−38.3%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 9h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$10.9kbelow peak −$235Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 72.5% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity62

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 17

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?No8,70775.1¢70.5¢$6,139−$405$0
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Yes4,89591.1¢92.4¢$4,523+$63$0
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?No2,03976.7¢91.5¢$1,865+$301$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?No2,08465.8¢76¢$1,583+$213+$7.16
Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?No2,82259.2¢54.5¢$1,538−$134$0
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Yes1,61864.1¢64¢$1,035−$0.95$0
Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No52386.8¢85¢$444−$9.15$0
Will Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No42691.9¢96.4¢$411+$19$0
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Yes34081¢92.9¢$316+$40$0
Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?No67062.7¢45¢$302−$119$0
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic16788.8¢92¢$154+$5.40+$88
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?Bibi1648¢58¢$9.40+$1.62$0
Will exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes1600.9¢1.5¢$2.40+$0.98$0
Will exactly 3 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes102.4¢6.4¢$0.64+$0.40$0
Will at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes5540.1¢0.1¢$0.28−$0.48$0
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?Yes52334¢0¢$0−$178$0
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?Yes4837¢0¢$0−$18$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY BibiIsrael Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?48¢16$7.7873%61
BUY YesWill Israel election happen as scheduled?90¢106$9573%61
BUY YesWill Israel election happen as scheduled?91.7¢2,465$2,26073%61
BUY NoWill exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?65.1¢828$53973%61
BUY NoWill Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31?85.2¢898$76473%61
BUY NoVote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?70¢15$1073%61
BUY NoVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?70¢600$42073%61
BUY NoVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?69¢55$3873%61
BUY NoVote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?64.7¢247$16073%61
BUY NoVote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?63¢642$40473%61
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?66.8¢755$50473%61
BUY NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?65¢383$24973%61
BUY YesWill at least 5 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?0.1¢554$0.7673%61
BUY YesWill exactly 4 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?0.8¢100$0.8273%61
BUY NoWill Amcha Yisrael win 7-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?91.9¢426$39173%61
BUY NoWill RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?91¢20$1873%61
BUY NoWill RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?91¢137$12573%61
BUY NoWill RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?89¢100$8973%61
BUY NoWill RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?83.4¢266$22273%61
BUY YesWill exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?66.1¢103$6873%61