sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,981

schneider

0x45a…12f0
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+OtherCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,244vol $651k
PnL 30d+$796gains $1,783 · losses $1,973
PnL 7d+$38win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate85.5%adj 84.2% · 30d 71.7%
Open value$4,935cash n/a
Positions23 / 1,146open / all-time
Max drawdown−97.8%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 8h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,480below peak −$5,702Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

58/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 85.5% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity2

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed+$989Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? · Noclosed+$158Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yesclosed+$129Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Noclosed+$125Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed+$122

Worst markets

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$669MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$570MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$560Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$552Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August? · Noclosed−$415

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes2,31483.2¢80.5¢$1,863−$63−$141
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No52695¢95¢$500$0$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?No41395.9¢96.5¢$398+$2.36$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes35584.5¢86.4¢$307+$6.57$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?No30099.3¢99.7¢$299+$1.05$0
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?No30095.9¢96¢$288+$0.15$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes30060.1¢71.6¢$215+$34+$8.94
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No28271¢68.5¢$193−$7.04$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes20090¢90.5¢$181+$1.00$0
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes20092¢89¢$178−$6.00$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?No10097¢97.5¢$97+$0.45$0
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No10080¢80¢$80$0$0
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?No10056¢71.5¢$72+$16+$16
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes40055.6¢14.5¢$58−$164$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No5984.8¢89.5¢$53+$2.75$0
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?No7378.3¢65.5¢$48−$9.40$0
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 in 2026?No4681.4¢88¢$41+$3.07$0
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$607077.3¢40.9¢$29−$25$0
Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026?No2082¢89.5¢$18+$1.51$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes7565.7¢15.5¢$12−$38$0
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes10020¢7.6¢$7.60−$12+$131
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of August 31 2026?No8072¢0¢$0−$58−$0.65
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 3?Down6077¢0¢$0−$46−$0.42

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?96.1¢200$19286%58
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?80¢400$32086%58
BUY YesWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?92.9¢96$8986%58
BUY NoWill the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by October 31?95.9¢40$3886%58
BUY NoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?91¢500$45586%58
BUY NoWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $145 in October?90¢100$9086%58
BUY NoWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $225 in October?90¢37$3386%58
BUY DownRussell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 13?92¢5$4.6086%58
BUY NoWill the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 100 by October 31?96¢20$1986%58
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?86.5¢250$21686%58
BUY NoWill the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 30 by October 31?98¢80$7886%58
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?95.9¢300$28886%58
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?81¢600$48686%58
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?84¢600$50486%58
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?84¢400$33686%58
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?95.5¢100$9686%58
BUY YesBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?92¢200$18486%58
BUY YesWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?90¢200$18086%58
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?84.5¢355$30086%58
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?96¢313$30086%58