Traders/Rank #599

poorersob

0x45b…978b

SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+Crypto

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$336kvol $58.5M

PnL 30d−$177gains $264 · losses $779

PnL 7d−$165win rate 7d 0.0%

Win rate74.1%adj 73.1% · 30d 80.0%

Open value$16.7kcash n/a

Positions1,281 / 8,437open / all-time

Max drawdown−11.8%of equity peak

Account age10molast trade 31d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$361kbelow peak −$863Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79

Adjusted win rateraw 74.1% · shrunk toward 50%83

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yesclosed+$20.0k MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$18.0k Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yesclosed+$3,801 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yesclosed+$956 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · Yesclosed+$888

Worst markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Downopen−$47.3k Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Noclosed−$19.7k MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$15.0k Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Upopen−$4,950 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Downopen−$4,872

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	10.0k	94¢	95.5¢	$9,545	+$145	$0	3mo
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	5,000	77.5¢	83.5¢	$4,175	+$298	$0	3mo
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	No	1,020	96¢	97.4¢	$993	+$14	$0	3mo
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	1,000	54¢	96.4¢	$963	+$424	+$50	3mo
GTA VI released by October 31?	No	500	97.1¢	99.6¢	$498	+$12	$0	22d 15h
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	500	84.7¢	94.5¢	$473	+$49	$0	3mo
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	20	96.1¢	98.6¢	$20	+$0.49	$0	3mo
Will Trump resign before 2027?	No	10	96.7¢	97.5¢	$9.26	+$0.08	$0	3mo
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	47.4k	99.8¢	0¢	$0	−$47.3k	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	16.3k	5¢	0¢	$0	−$824	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3AM ET	Up	12.3k	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$43	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	10.7k	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$56	$0	ended
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	10.0k	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$20	+$18.1k	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	8,995	5.7¢	0¢	$0	−$513	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	8,234	4¢	0¢	$0	−$331	−$121	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	8,000	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$110	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	7,800	5.3¢	0¢	$0	−$414	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	7,709	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$22	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	7,472	5.4¢	0¢	$0	−$406	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	7,389	6.3¢	0¢	$0	−$465	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	7,216	32.4¢	0¢	$0	−$2,341	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	7,000	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$147	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	6,985	2.9¢	0¢	$0	−$199	+$9.41	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	6,969	28.9¢	0¢	$0	−$2,017	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	6,492	2.2¢	0¢	$0	−$143	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	6,462	1.9¢	0¢	$0	−$124	$0	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	6,347	10.7¢	0¢	$0	−$677	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	6,149	3.9¢	0¢	$0	−$241	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	5,884	1¢	0¢	$0	−$60	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	5,791	66.2¢	0¢	$0	−$3,834	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	5,660	3.3¢	0¢	$0	−$188	$0	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 3AM ET	Up	5,659	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$23	$0	ended
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?	No	5,500	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$20	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	5,499	3.5¢	0¢	$0	−$195	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	5,247	5.4¢	0¢	$0	−$283	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	5,183	7.2¢	0¢	$0	−$373	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	5,077	4.6¢	0¢	$0	−$236	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	5,000	99¢	0¢	$0	−$4,950	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	4,928	99¢	0¢	$0	−$4,880	+$7.25	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	4,901	9¢	0¢	$0	−$440	+$21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	4,716	7.4¢	0¢	$0	−$351	+$97	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	4,693	1¢	0¢	$0	−$49	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	4,659	75.6¢	0¢	$0	−$3,524	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	4,462	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$23	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	4,459	31.3¢	0¢	$0	−$1,396	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	4,310	2.5¢	0¢	$0	−$107	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	4,072	8.6¢	0¢	$0	−$350	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	4,047	58.4¢	0¢	$0	−$2,363	$0	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 7AM ET	Up	4,045	15.6¢	0¢	$0	−$631	$0	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	4,019	5.6¢	0¢	$0	−$224	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	4,007	25.5¢	0¢	$0	−$1,021	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	4,002	5.7¢	0¢	$0	−$226	$0	ended
XRP Up or Down - February 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	4,000	1.7¢	0¢	$0	−$70	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	3,991	18.9¢	0¢	$0	−$754	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	3,983	54.2¢	0¢	$0	−$2,157	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	3,937	28¢	0¢	$0	−$1,103	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	3,907	25.7¢	0¢	$0	−$1,003	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	3,841	2¢	0¢	$0	−$77	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7AM ET	Down	3,747	15.1¢	0¢	$0	−$566	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	3,727	36.7¢	0¢	$0	−$1,366	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	3,683	20.1¢	0¢	$0	−$741	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	3,642	45.8¢	0¢	$0	−$1,667	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	3,574	16.3¢	0¢	$0	−$582	−$244	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	3,558	7.4¢	0¢	$0	−$263	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	3,500	31.4¢	0¢	$0	−$1,100	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	3,498	2.2¢	0¢	$0	−$79	−$12	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	3,464	19.1¢	0¢	$0	−$663	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	3,447	7.6¢	0¢	$0	−$262	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	3,446	21.5¢	0¢	$0	−$742	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	3,438	1¢	0¢	$0	−$35	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	3,423	19.1¢	0¢	$0	−$652	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	3,351	66.6¢	0¢	$0	−$2,230	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	3,300	27.5¢	0¢	$0	−$907	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	3,245	10.3¢	0¢	$0	−$336	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	3,232	8.3¢	0¢	$0	−$269	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	3,220	22.5¢	0¢	$0	−$726	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	3,208	44.5¢	0¢	$0	−$1,427	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	3,199	64.2¢	0¢	$0	−$2,054	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	3,190	35.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1,120	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	3,176	47.3¢	0¢	$0	−$1,503	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	3,162	10¢	0¢	$0	−$315	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	3,133	18.4¢	0¢	$0	−$577	$0	ended
Will Solana reach $150 in April?	Yes	3,132	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$3.13	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	3,064	24.4¢	0¢	$0	−$747	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	3,029	16¢	0¢	$0	−$485	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	3,026	23.3¢	0¢	$0	−$706	$0	ended
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	3,000	5¢	0¢	$0	−$150	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	3,000	5.7¢	0¢	$0	−$170	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	3,000	1¢	0¢	$0	−$30	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	3,000	3¢	0¢	$0	−$90	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	3,000	23.8¢	0¢	$0	−$715	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	2,999	6¢	0¢	$0	−$180	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	2,996	20.3¢	0¢	$0	−$609	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	2,989	39.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1,168	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	2,985	43¢	0¢	$0	−$1,285	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	2,974	20.3¢	0¢	$0	−$605	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	2,898	10.5¢	0¢	$0	−$303	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	2,891	75.1¢	0¢	$0	−$2,171	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	2,890	2.1¢	0¢	$0	−$61	−$25	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	2,869	6.3¢	0¢	$0	−$182	−$8.30	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
31d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	99.9¢	3,000	$2,997	74%	72	Sharp
31d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	99.5¢	900	$896	74%	72	Sharp
31d ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	99.5¢	500	$498	74%	72	Sharp
34d ago	SELL No	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	93¢	12.0k	$11.2k	74%	72	WhaleSharp
34d ago	SELL No	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	93¢	900	$837	74%	72	Sharp
34d ago	SELL No	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	95.3¢	5,230	$4,987	74%	72	Sharp
34d ago	SELL No	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	98.8¢	6,500	$6,422	74%	72	Sharp
34d ago	SELL No	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	99.3¢	7,500	$7,447	74%	72	Sharp
35d ago	SELL No	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	96.2¢	5,123	$4,928	74%	72	Sharp
35d ago	SELL No	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	99.2¢	4,148	$4,115	74%	72	Sharp
35d ago	BUY No	Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?	99¢	500	$495	74%	72	Sharp
35d ago	BUY No	Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?	98.9¢	132	$131	74%	72	Sharp
37d ago	BUY No	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	96.1¢	93	$89	74%	72	Sharp
37d ago	BUY No	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	95.8¢	250	$240	74%	72	Sharp
37d ago	BUY No	New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	96.3¢	20	$19	74%	72	Sharp
37d ago	BUY No	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	85¢	1,268	$1,078	74%	72	Sharp
37d ago	BUY No	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	98.7¢	1,500	$1,481	74%	72	Sharp
37d ago	BUY No	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	96.1¢	20	$19	74%	72	Sharp
37d ago	BUY No	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	99.3¢	378	$375	74%	72	Sharp
37d ago	BUY No	Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?	99.2¢	260	$258	74%	72	Sharp