PnL all-time−$694vol $3,998
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 47.6% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$402cash n/a
Positions12 / 13open / all-time
Max drawdown−69.8%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 11mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$694below peak −$698Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
6/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable37
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity30
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yesopen+$11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · Yesopen+$9.89Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesopen+$8.46Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? · Yesopen+$7.53Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Noopen+$0.64
Worst markets
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24? · Yesopen−$238Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026? · Yesopen−$150Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15? · Yesopen−$121Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24? · Yesclosed−$93Solana all time high before 2026? · Yesopen−$50
Open positions · 12
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 110 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $110 | +$9.89 | $0 | |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 108 | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | $108 | +$8.46 | $0 | |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 108 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $108 | +$7.53 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 65 | 83.5¢ | 100¢ | $65 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 11 | 94¢ | 100¢ | $11 | +$0.64 | $0 | |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 1,859 | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026? | Yes | 425 | 35.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | Yes | 333 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24? | Yes | 284 | 83.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$238 | $0 | |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15? | Yes | 206 | 58.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$121 | $0 | |
| Solana all time high before 2026? | Yes | 167 | 30¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year? | Yes | 83 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 |
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