PnL all-time−$270vol $31.4k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate38.1%adj 43.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$860cash n/a
Positions6 / 28open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.9%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$270below peak −$268Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 38.1% · shrunk toward 50%10
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity66
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Rice vs. South Florida · South Floridaclosed+$18Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? · Noopen+$10Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix? · Noclosed+$5.88Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Noopen+$2.20Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping before August? · Noclosed+$1.23
Worst markets
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? · Noopen−$281Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 11? · Noclosed−$9.49Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 21? · Noclosed−$3.18Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 21? · Noclosed−$2.73Will Esteban Ocon finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship? · Noclosed−$2.20
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 520 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $520 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open? | No | 230 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $230 | +$0.66 | $0 | |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 110 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $110 | +$2.20 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 23? | Yes | 421 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.85 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by March 13? | Yes | 310 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.86 | $0 | |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | No | 285 | 98.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$281 | $0 |
Recent trades
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