sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,200

merch

0x45e…cc6c
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,126vol $348k
PnL 30d+$817gains $1,285 · losses $393
PnL 7d+$247win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate66.0%adj 65.0% · 30d 68.4%
Open value$16.8kcash n/a
Positions40 / 337open / all-time
Max drawdown−78.7%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 23h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,003below peak −$7,691Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 66.0% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity21

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 40

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No4,70584.1¢82.5¢$3,882−$78+$5.00
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes2,15875.1¢99.3¢$2,141+$520+$346
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes1,88486.7¢98¢$1,846+$214$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes1,66792.6¢95.5¢$1,592+$49$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No1,00086.6¢94.5¢$945+$79$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes95079.6¢87.9¢$835+$78−$58
Trump out as President before 2027?No60094¢96.2¢$577+$13$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No60085¢94.5¢$567+$57$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No50080¢90.5¢$453+$53$0
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No50087¢89.5¢$448+$13$0
Ohio State vs. IndianaOhio State65062¢61.5¢$400−$3.25$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No50069¢75.5¢$378+$33−$60
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No41788.7¢90.1¢$376+$5.96$0
Saints vs. GiantsSaints70049¢51.5¢$361+$18$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No50073¢69.5¢$347−$17$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No35072.5¢94.5¢$331+$77$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes36151.5¢87.1¢$314+$128−$11
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?No31556¢85¢$268+$91$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes20053.7¢96.1¢$192+$85$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No20768.2¢89.5¢$185+$44−$64
No one announced as next James Bond?No20078.2¢66.6¢$133−$23$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes20067¢56.5¢$113−$21$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes10065.6¢71.5¢$71+$5.80−$81
Cowboys vs. PackersCowboys10050¢48.5¢$49−$1.50$0
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No10060¢22¢$22−$38$0
Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?Yes9121¢10.5¢$9.55−$9.55$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes1008.4¢6.6¢$6.55−$1.85$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Yes3,53889.6¢0¢$0−$3,171−$16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes2,75092.2¢0¢$0−$2,535$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Yes1,71592.1¢0¢$0−$1,579$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes1,34997.3¢0¢$0−$1,313$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes74542.9¢0¢$0−$319−$257
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No40061.9¢0¢$0−$248$0
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?Yes26583.6¢0¢$0−$222−$0.86
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes20971.2¢0¢$0−$149−$1.28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?Yes20074¢0¢$0−$148$0
UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)Alexandre Pantoja10043¢0¢$0−$43−$33
Spread: Texans (-2.5)Texans10052¢0¢$0−$52$0
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes2052¢0¢$0−$10−$0.15
Bengals vs. Steelers: O/U 43.5Under2053.1¢0¢$0−$11−$52

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY CowboysCowboys vs. Packers50¢100$5066%56
BUY SaintsSaints vs. Giants49¢700$34366%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?97¢308$29966%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?94.9¢29$2866%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?93.1¢451$42066%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?93¢83$7766%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?93¢200$18666%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?87¢30$2666%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?80¢102$8266%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?79¢121$9666%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?69¢124$8666%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?70¢52$3666%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?70¢40$2866%56
BUY YesWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?70¢10$7.0066%56
SELL UnderBengals vs. Steelers: O/U 43.522¢124$2766%56
SELL UnderBengals vs. Steelers: O/U 43.523¢43$9.8966%56
SELL YesWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?80¢44$3566%56
BUY YesWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?90¢102$9266%56
BUY YesWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?89¢10$8.9066%56
BUY YesWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?89¢39$3566%56