PnL all-time−$11.1kvol $71.1k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.2%adj 47.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,138cash n/a
Positions14 / 53open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.2%of equity peak
Account age4.5ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$11.1kbelow peak −$116Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 46.2% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable57
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? · Yesclosed+$1,353Will NATO expand in 2022? · Noclosed+$771Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$460Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? · Yesclosed+$446Will Hillary Clinton announce presidential run before DNC? · Noclosed+$306
Worst markets
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House · Yesclosed−$3,575Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? · Yesclosed−$2,250Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? · Noclosed−$2,000Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state? · Noclosed−$1,936Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yesclosed−$1,141
Open positions · 14
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Nuke in 2025? | No | 1,500 | 87¢ | 100¢ | $1,500 | +$195 | $0 | |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | No | 400 | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | $400 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | No | 70 | 71.7¢ | 100¢ | $70 | +$20 | $0 | |
| US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025? | No | 55 | 91¢ | 100¢ | $55 | +$4.95 | $0 | |
| Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | No | 41 | 74¢ | 100¢ | $41 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in 2025? | Yes | 35 | 85¢ | 100¢ | $35 | +$5.29 | $0 | |
| Trump's sovereign wealth fund acquires TikTok before July? | No | 21 | 95¢ | 100¢ | $21 | +$1.05 | $0 | |
| Ukraine election called in 2025? | No | 16 | 62¢ | 100¢ | $16 | +$6.13 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? | Yes | 950 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$143 | $0 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash by June 30? | Yes | 264 | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | Yes | 182 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before July? | Yes | 73 | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Yes | 72 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.95 | $0 | |
| Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July? | No | 35 | 93.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33 | $0 |
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