sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

lexswitz

0x460…e696
WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$2,829vol $159k
PnL 30d−$43gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$23win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate65.1%adj 63.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$5,451cash n/a
Positions18 / 173open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.6ylast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,990below peak −$4,796Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 65.1% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? · Noclosed+$680Will Microsoft buy TikTok? · Noclosed+$573Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yesopen+$553Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? · Noclosed+$517Ohio State vs. Texas · Ohio Stateclosed+$351

Worst markets

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? · Noopen−$2,254Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? · Noclosed−$1,227Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? · Noopen−$1,196SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second Day · Downopen−$571Texas A&M vs. Texas · Texas A&Mclosed−$378

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?No3,41192.3¢97.1¢$3,310+$163+$3.70
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes1,29539.8¢82.5¢$1,069+$553$0
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?No98483.3¢92¢$905+$85−$34
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes20050¢56.5¢$113+$13$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Yes7026¢53.5¢$37+$19$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?No2657¢27¢$6.97−$7.75$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes20013¢3.2¢$6.40−$20$0
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes1248.6¢2.4¢$2.91−$7.75$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No4,2008.1¢0¢$0−$342−$6.35
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?No2,00059¢0¢$0−$1,180−$16
SpaceX IPO: Open Up/Down on Second DayDown1,85430.8¢0¢$0−$571$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No1,36369.5¢0¢$0−$947−$1,307
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No1,09933.5¢0¢$0−$369$0
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No10025¢0¢$0−$25+$21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No10074¢0¢$0−$74$0
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?No10032¢0¢$0−$32$0
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU CougarsBYU Cougars10031.1¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No2882¢0¢$0−$23$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?89¢500$44565%28
BUY NoWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?92¢175$16165%28
BUY NoWill Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?90¢109$9965%28
BUY YesWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?34¢795$27065%28
BUY YesOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?50¢20$1065%28
SELL NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?96.4¢60$5865%28
SELL NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?95.2¢60$5765%28
SELL NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?59.8¢48$2965%28
SELL NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?59.9¢108$6565%28
SELL NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?57.2¢497$28465%28
SELL NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?57.2¢65$3765%28
SELL NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?49¢200$9865%28
SELL NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?49.2¢100$4965%28
SELL NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?50¢97$4865%28
BUY YesWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?49¢500$24565%28
SELL NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?98.9¢70$6965%28
SELL NoSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?1.3¢192$2.4965%28
BUY NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?92.3¢20$1865%28
BUY NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?92.3¢200$18565%28
BUY NoWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?82¢31$2665%28