sharpside
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notcookie

0x465…00d6@AdleySalin70486
PoliticsCryptoSportCultureOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$189vol $205k
PnL 30d−$155gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.09win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.2%adj 55.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2,165cash n/a
Positions37 / 346open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$164below peak −$847Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.2% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 37

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?No70266¢100¢$702+$239$0
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina CatamountsClemson Tigers1,03313¢50¢$517+$382$0
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?No47287¢100¢$472+$61−$247
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?No19377¢98.1¢$189+$41+$1.59
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No15849¢100¢$158+$81+$1.62
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?No12687¢100¢$126+$16−$644
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?No176¢100¢$1.00+$0.24+$2.57
Deel IPO before 2027?Yes4536¢0.5¢$0.20−$16$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?Yes92839¢0¢$0−$362$0
Will Trump post "Paper Tiger" on Truth Social this week?Yes77545¢0¢$0−$349$0
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes72512¢0¢$0−$87$0
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes29043¢0¢$0−$125$0
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over27382¢0¢$0−$224$0
Will Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address?Yes20765¢0¢$0−$135$0
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Ipswich Town FC18416¢0¢$0−$29$0
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?No14046.5¢0¢$0−$65−$691
Harmonix FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1173.2¢0¢$0−$3.74$0
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?Yes1139¢0¢$0−$10$0
Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?Yes1081.4¢0¢$0−$1.51$0
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?Yes10443¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election?No8347¢0¢$0−$39$0
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?No5458¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?No368.3¢0¢$0−$2.99$0
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?Yes313¢0¢$0−$0.93$0
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes305¢0¢$0−$1.50$0
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?Yes2012¢0¢$0−$2.40−$22
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in November 2025?Yes171.2¢0¢$0−$0.20+$0.21
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?Yes152.8¢0¢$0−$0.42+$0.17
Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?Yes143.5¢0¢$0−$0.49+$0.40
Brex IPO in 2025?Yes131.5¢0¢$0−$0.20−$0.13
1k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in Q1 2026?Yes1013.2¢0¢$0−$1.32−$24
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?Yes1011¢0¢$0−$1.10$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?Yes354.7¢0¢$0−$1.64$0
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes22.3¢0¢$0−$0.05+$4.76
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes223¢0¢$0−$0.46$0
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Yes113.4¢0¢$0−$0.13−$0.75
Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?Yes14¢0¢$0−$0.04−$0.23

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?68¢538$36656%27
SELL NoWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?67¢9$6.0356%27
SELL NoForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?67¢555$37256%27
SELL NoForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?67¢167$11256%27
BUY NoForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?87¢1,732$1,50756%27
SELL NoCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?50¢123$6256%27
SELL NoCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?50¢792$39656%27
SELL YesWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?49¢116$5756%27
BUY NoWill New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?66¢702$46356%27
BUY NoCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?54¢915$49456%27
SELL NoWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?85¢620$52756%27
SELL NoWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?75¢487$36556%27
SELL DownTech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?7¢515$3656%27
SELL NoWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?75¢544$40856%27
SELL NoWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?75¢504$37856%27
SELL NoWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?24¢1,022$24556%27
BUY NoWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?76¢1,535$1,16756%27
BUY NoWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?87¢1,148$99956%27
BUY DownTech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?12¢515$6256%27
BUY NoWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?86¢620$53356%27