PnL all-time+$1,128vol $12.5k
PnL 30d+$75gains $77 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$8.33win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate91.7%adj 65.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$192cash n/a
Positions6 / 18open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.5%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,137below peak −$225Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 91.7% · shrunk toward 50%64
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable42
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? · Yesclosed+$910Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yesclosed+$238US military action against Iran before July? · Yesclosed+$81Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$68Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$58
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$305US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed−$72Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on May 1? · Yesopen−$24Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 1? · Yesopen−$17Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? · Noopen−$8.33
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ra'am be in the next Israeli government? | No | 238 | 84¢ | 80.5¢ | $192 | −$8.33 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 469 | 64¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$300 | −$5.40 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 1? | Yes | 200 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | −$0.10 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 1? | Yes | 200 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | −$0.50 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 1? | Yes | 100 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.90 | −$0.01 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on May 1? | Yes | 100 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 |
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