sharpside
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Traders/Rank #13,128

geoffmar

0x469…5de4
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$11.1kvol $91.4k
PnL 30d+$146gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$340win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 52.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$6,490cash n/a
Positions5 / 6open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$10.8kbelow peak −$16.8kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

11/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable26
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 5

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes8,78937.2¢35.5¢$3,120−$152$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No16.2k8¢9.5¢$1,537+$243$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes16.1k9.2¢9.5¢$1,533+$56$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?No2,40212.5¢12.5¢$300+$0.28$0
US military action against Iran before July?No32.8k42.1¢0¢$0−$13.8k$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?37¢331$122100%11
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?13.6¢736$100100%11
BUY NoWill the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?12¢1,667$200100%11
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?36¢3,056$1,100100%11
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?10¢2,483$248100%11
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?38¢1,579$600100%11
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?9¢7,431$669100%11
BUY YesWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?9¢6,221$560100%11
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?34¢1,324$450100%11
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?8¢6,239$499100%11
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?40¢2,500$1,000100%11
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?8¢6,250$500100%11
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?8¢3,688$295100%11
BUY YesWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?37.9¢4,356$1,651100%11
SELL YesWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?33.3¢5,375$1,791100%11
BUY YesWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?30.8¢455$140100%11
BUY YesWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?31.6¢4,921$1,556100%11
BUY NoUS military action against Iran before July?45.2¢2,516$1,137100%11
BUY NoUS military action against Iran before July?56.2¢3,759$2,112100%11
BUY NoUS military action against Iran before July?36¢5,863$2,111100%11