PnL all-time−$5,057vol $1.13M
PnL 30d−$1,243gains $40.3k · losses $36.3k
PnL 7d+$30win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate79.8%adj 74.8% · 30d 36.4%
Open value$42.5kcash n/a
Positions11 / 111open / all-time
Max drawdown−13.3%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 11h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$7,337below peak −$295Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 79.8% · shrunk toward 50%87
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$40.0kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yesopen+$12.1kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$4,937Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? · Yesclosed+$1,724Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$1,404
Worst markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesopen−$9,993Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$9,312Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$8,633Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$7,012Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$4,481
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20.0k | 20¢ | 80.5¢ | $16.1k | +$12.1k | $0 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 10.0k | 91¢ | 92.5¢ | $9,250 | +$150 | $0 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 4,933 | 97.1¢ | 99.3¢ | $4,898 | +$110 | +$16 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20.0k | 20¢ | 19.5¢ | $3,900 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 2,725 | 95.8¢ | 96¢ | $2,616 | +$4.90 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | No | 2,361 | 93.7¢ | 99.4¢ | $2,346 | +$133 | +$40 | |
| Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting? | No | 1,657 | 94¢ | 95.5¢ | $1,582 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 1,080 | 96.8¢ | 97.6¢ | $1,054 | +$8.36 | $0 | |
| Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting? | No | 907 | 88¢ | 83¢ | $753 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50.0k | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,993 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 3,000 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$600 | −$2,189 |
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