PnL all-time+$681vol $15.2k
PnL 30d−$184gains $79 · losses $26
PnL 7d−$105win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate54.5%adj 52.4% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$1,353cash n/a
Positions8 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−76.5%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 13d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$470below peak −$464Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale40
Adjusted win rateraw 54.5% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d54
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity24
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed+$781Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million? · Yesclosed+$745Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed+$149Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yesclosed+$43Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? · Yesclosed+$42
Worst markets
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yesclosed−$506Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yesclosed−$256Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · Noopen−$128Norway vs. England: Team to Advance · Norwayclosed−$103La Velada del Año 6: Marta Díaz vs. Tatiana Käer · Käerclosed−$103
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | 550 | 95¢ | 96.1¢ | $529 | +$6.05 | $0 | |
| Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | No | 828 | 76.9¢ | 61.5¢ | $509 | −$128 | $0 | |
| Will Mina the Hollower win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 400 | 36.5¢ | 35¢ | $140 | −$6.10 | $0 | |
| Jonathan Majors as Kang? | No | 118 | 87.8¢ | 89.3¢ | $105 | +$1.66 | +$9.36 | |
| Will Mewgenics win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 400 | 29.8¢ | 15¢ | $60 | −$59 | $0 | |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 200 | 43.4¢ | 5¢ | $10 | −$77 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Up | 57 | 44¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.98 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Down | 30 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$25 | −$0.30 |
Recent trades
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