PnL all-time+$11.9kvol $943k
PnL 30d+$5,107gains $2,293 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$897win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate78.4%adj 68.4% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$43.1kcash n/a
Positions9 / 46open / all-time
Max drawdown−48.7%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 14h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$17.2kbelow peak −$260Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
48/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 78.4% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity51
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? · Yesclosed+$6,882Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Noopen+$3,904Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$2,770Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Noclosed+$2,293Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? · Noclosed+$1,938
Worst markets
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesclosed−$3,407Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Noclosed−$579Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$526Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30? · Noclosed−$366Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · Noclosed−$292
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 38.9k | 83.5¢ | 93.5¢ | $36.3k | +$3,904 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 2,869 | 84¢ | 86.9¢ | $2,492 | +$83 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? | Yes | 2,446 | 96.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $2,433 | +$62 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? | Yes | 2,000 | 92¢ | 93.5¢ | $1,870 | +$30 | $0 | |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 5 | 89¢ | 88.5¢ | $4.45 | −$0.03 | $0 | |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 5 | 39.2¢ | 52¢ | $2.60 | +$0.64 | $0 | |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21? | Yes | 463 | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 62.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.11 | +$6.94 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 5 | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.25 | $0 |
Recent trades
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