sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #2,620

JasonPunos

0x47a…ee94
PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.4kvol $3.20M
PnL 30d−$3,602gains $1,562 · losses $772
PnL 7d−$583win rate 7d 90.0%
Win rate83.7%adj 82.4% · 30d 95.2%
Open value$13.8kcash n/a
Positions99 / 1,022open / all-time
Max drawdown−66.3%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$11.1kbelow peak −$21.9kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

68/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 83.7% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity34

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 99

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No3,20087.8¢88.5¢$2,832+$22$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No2,32299.6¢99.8¢$2,316+$3.48$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo2,00092¢91.5¢$1,830−$10$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No2,50063¢63.5¢$1,587+$12+$27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes1,50058.2¢85.7¢$1,285+$412$0
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Yes1,18387.8¢79¢$935−$104$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No2,13046.6¢22.5¢$479−$514$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes3,00524.4¢15.5¢$466−$267$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes2,40017¢15.5¢$372−$36$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes50067.3¢69.8¢$349+$12$0
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No42276.8¢77.5¢$327+$3.16$0
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?No30083.6¢87.6¢$263+$12+$22
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?No20084.2¢83.9¢$168−$0.70$0
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No13391¢89.6¢$119−$1.87$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes20061.3¢57.9¢$116−$6.80$0
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?No13471.2¢67¢$90−$5.63$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No10071¢75.5¢$76+$4.50$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes10071¢71.5¢$72+$0.50$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?No7087.8¢81.4¢$57−$4.53$0
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?No5085¢94¢$47+$4.50$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1063¢62.5¢$6.25−$0.05$0
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?Yes1023¢18.5¢$1.85−$0.45$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No58.7k10¢0¢$0−$5,845+$334
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?No11.0k0.3¢0¢$0−$33$0
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?No5,80077.6¢0¢$0−$4,504−$12
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?No5,50018¢0¢$0−$990−$6.83
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No4,98983.8¢0¢$0−$4,181−$11
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No4,98212.8¢0¢$0−$638−$1,652
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes4,4402.8¢0¢$0−$126$0
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?No3,23047.3¢0¢$0−$1,527$0
Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No3,11015.4¢0¢$0−$480−$14
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?No3,07959.6¢0¢$0−$1,836$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?No2,83537.2¢0¢$0−$1,055−$26
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Yes2,09373.9¢0¢$0−$1,546+$32
France vs. England: O/U 7.5Under2,02097.9¢0¢$0−$1,978−$1.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No1,85845.8¢0¢$0−$852+$21
Trump renames AI by September 30?No1,81779.7¢0¢$0−$1,447$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No1,80967.3¢0¢$0−$1,217−$16
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?Yes1,74925.8¢0¢$0−$451+$87
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?No1,71281.6¢0¢$0−$1,397$0
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No1,64986.7¢0¢$0−$1,430−$6.50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes1,5001.2¢0¢$0−$18$0
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over1,50089¢0¢$0−$1,335$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?No1,39319.2¢0¢$0−$267$0
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 15?No1,28853.3¢0¢$0−$687$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?No1,19423.7¢0¢$0−$283$0
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No1,12731.2¢0¢$0−$351$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No1,11663.2¢0¢$0−$705+$18
France vs. England: O/U 6.5Under1,10095¢0¢$0−$1,045−$2.61
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?Yes1,02462.8¢0¢$0−$643$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No1,00025¢0¢$0−$250−$3,139
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes1,00057¢0¢$0−$570$0
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?No1,00062¢0¢$0−$620$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?No94316¢0¢$0−$151−$5.02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No7273.3¢0¢$0−$24−$0.93
France vs. England: O/U 4.5Under70074¢0¢$0−$518$0
LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Team Solid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Solid66418.1¢0¢$0−$120+$1.02
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No56964.9¢0¢$0−$369−$2.65
France vs. England: O/U 5.5Under56888¢0¢$0−$500−$3.00
Will "The Grinch" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)Yes5480.2¢0¢$0−$1.19$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No50035¢0¢$0−$175+$5.74
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?No50040¢0¢$0−$200$0
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo50096.1¢0¢$0−$480$0
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No5006.8¢0¢$0−$34+$2.19
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?Yes47265.9¢0¢$0−$311$0
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?No45488.1¢0¢$0−$400$0
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?No42946.4¢0¢$0−$199$0
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?No40849¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?No40711.6¢0¢$0−$47+$97
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?No40389¢0¢$0−$358$0
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No37515¢0¢$0−$56+$90
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?No3290.4¢0¢$0−$1.32$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in September?Yes32752.2¢0¢$0−$171−$127
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor30030¢0¢$0−$90$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No30094.5¢0¢$0−$283$0
Trump renames AI by December 31?No3000.8¢0¢$0−$2.40$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No2865¢0¢$0−$14−$0.54
Will Trump say "Tax" 7+ times during events in Rockland County?No22211¢0¢$0−$24−$0.87
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes2100.5¢0¢$0−$1.05$0
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?No20072¢0¢$0−$144$0
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over20069¢0¢$0−$138$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?Yes16491¢0¢$0−$149$0
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No15370.7¢0¢$0−$108+$173
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 17?No12969¢0¢$0−$89$0
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes1001.5¢0¢$0−$1.50$0
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?No1001.2¢0¢$0−$1.20$0
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No9037¢0¢$0−$33−$1.05
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)No811.3¢0¢$0−$1.05$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No3392.5¢0¢$0−$31$0
Was Ilhan Omar sprayed with vinegar?No3270¢0¢$0−$22$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?Yes303.7¢0¢$0−$1.11$0
Will "Ford v. Ferrari" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)Yes200.3¢0¢$0−$0.06$0
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No1840.1¢0¢$0−$7.25−$0.17
Jynxzi vs Speed gaming challenge winner?Jynxzi1265¢0¢$0−$7.79$0
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?No1160¢0¢$0−$6.57$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?Yes775.5¢0¢$0−$5.15−$714
US government shutdown Saturday?No568¢0¢$0−$3.40$0
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No247¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?No188.6¢0¢$0−$1.08$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.6¢322$32184%68
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?99.6¢2,000$1,99284%68
BUY YesWill the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?90¢298$26884%68
BUY YesWill the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?89¢113$10184%68
BUY YesWill the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?84¢130$10984%68
BUY YesWill the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?79¢172$13684%68
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?87¢600$52284%68
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢1,000$88084%68
BUY YesSpain snap election called by October 31?99.8¢190$19084%68
BUY YesSpain snap election called by November 30?99.9¢408$40784%68
SELL YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?10¢1,350$13584%68
BUY NoWill Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?82¢24$2084%68
BUY YesWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?63¢100$6384%68
BUY NoWill Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?83.5¢87$7384%68
BUY NoWill Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?87¢812$70784%68
BUY NoWill Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 47% and 50% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?93¢260$24284%68
BUY NoWill Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win more than 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?99.9¢431$43084%68
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?18¢600$10884%68
BUY YesIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?4.7¢40$1.8884%68
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?12¢823$9984%68