sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,147

Liquidifier

0x481…bf0b
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSportCryptoOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$174kvol $77.9M
PnL 30d+$1,413gains $1,312 · losses $292
PnL 7d+$1,418win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate41.6%adj 41.9% · 30d 72.7%
Open value$126kcash n/a
Positions318 / 2,885open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 4h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$22.9kbelow peak −$132kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale75
Adjusted win rateraw 41.6% · shrunk toward 50%5
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?No77.1k92.4¢95¢$73.3k+$2,028$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No7,00088.7¢95.5¢$6,685+$475$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No6,59283.5¢95.7¢$6,305+$801+$420
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes6,18639.2¢87¢$5,382+$2,959−$42
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No5,32794¢97.1¢$5,170+$162$0
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?No6,48278.6¢79¢$5,121+$27$0
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No3,49587.3¢96¢$3,355+$304$0
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No2,37611.6¢71.5¢$1,699+$1,423+$1,241
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1,81461.2¢89¢$1,615+$505+$72
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No4,59170.8¢31¢$1,423−$1,829$0
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?No93768.9¢95¢$890+$244−$468
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes6,25561.3¢14¢$876−$2,960−$1,117
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes5,12333¢16.5¢$845−$845$0
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes85252.8¢95.5¢$813+$363$0
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?No83960¢88¢$738+$235+$201
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes94725¢74.5¢$705+$469+$13
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes4,16968.6¢14¢$584−$2,275−$287
Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027?No97038.2¢46.5¢$451+$80$0
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?$601,43431.1¢30.6¢$439−$7.66$0
Will Solana hit $300 by June 30, 2027?No57060.9¢73¢$416+$69$0
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?No43217.5¢96¢$415+$339+$120
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes4,0655.4¢9.8¢$396+$177−$0.08
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Yes50025¢67¢$335+$210$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,2060.7¢10.3¢$330+$308$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No1,13740.6¢28.7¢$327−$135−$107
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?No80369¢37.5¢$301−$253−$22
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?Yes48547.6¢60.5¢$294+$62$0
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes1,16932.6¢24.5¢$286−$95+$153
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?No28994¢97.2¢$280+$9.23$0
Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?No49522¢51.5¢$255+$146$0
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?No26092.1¢96.9¢$252+$12−$134
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% in October?Yes36639.8¢67¢$245+$100$0
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?No6,2957.5¢3.8¢$239−$231$0
Will MegaETH hit $0.10 by March 31, 2027?No28670.3¢78¢$223+$22$0
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No21616¢96.4¢$208+$174+$96
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,93015¢9.5¢$183−$106+$65
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No19577.5¢91.6¢$179+$27−$2.75
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No20477.8¢84.9¢$173+$14$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes11.2k1.1¢1.4¢$152+$27+$37
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No14094.7¢99.4¢$139+$6.56$0
Will Solana hit $300 by September 30, 2027?No18262.1¢69.5¢$126+$13$0
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?No13986.8¢90.9¢$126+$5.61−$153
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes28838.8¢42.4¢$122+$10+$13
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?No11598¢99.9¢$115+$2.13$0
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026?Yes30631.5¢36.5¢$112+$15$0
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?No11193¢97.4¢$108+$4.81−$78
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No11168¢95¢$105+$30+$415
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes30.0k1.2¢0.4¢$105−$264+$40
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?No11086¢94.7¢$104+$9.51−$95
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No10090¢99.9¢$100+$9.90$0
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?No10097¢99.6¢$100+$2.55$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes11155¢82.5¢$92+$31$0
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes1,0054.1¢8.9¢$89+$48+$229
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes5229¢17¢$89+$42+$2,211
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?No1,50020.5¢5.5¢$83−$226+$22
US military draft authorized in 2026?Yes2,04610¢3.9¢$80−$125$0
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?No14050.6¢55.5¢$78+$6.80$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes20237.3¢37.5¢$76+$0.31+$7.52
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?Yes25627.4¢27.5¢$70+$0.20$0
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?Yes1,00612.2¢6.8¢$68−$55+$50
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No12084.9¢56.4¢$68−$34$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No8131.9¢80¢$65+$39+$4.35
Will Solana hit $300 by December 31, 2027?No9063.7¢70.5¢$63+$6.15$0
Will Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027?No7084.2¢87.3¢$61+$2.13$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Yes34415.4¢17.5¢$60+$7.08+$37
Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes70716.8¢7.5¢$53−$66−$4.07
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,9320.9¢0.7¢$52−$23+$74
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes30813.1¢16.5¢$51+$10+$75
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes35710.4¢14¢$50+$13$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes13.6k2.5¢0.4¢$48−$287+$6.16
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?No5927.6¢78¢$46+$30+$100
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.0k2¢0.5¢$45−$158+$77
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,2060.7¢1.4¢$43+$21$0
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes26.4k1.6¢0.2¢$40−$387−$186
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?Yes12529.1¢30.5¢$38+$1.73$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes15.0k1.3¢0.3¢$38−$161+$1.55
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?No4088¢88¢$35$0$0
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes10.0k0.7¢0.4¢$35−$35$0
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027?No2348.1¢14¢$33+$14$0
Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes1,1387¢2.9¢$32−$47+$43
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes15919.4¢18.5¢$29−$1.43+$80
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes16638¢16.5¢$27−$36$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes40339¢6.5¢$26−$131$0
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?Yes20031¢11.5¢$23−$39$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,5260.7¢0.9¢$21+$3.77+$1.35
US recession by end of 2026?Yes32116.9¢6.5¢$21−$33+$19
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,2060.7¢0.7¢$21−$1.63$0
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?No4153.1¢47.5¢$20−$2.34+$3.97
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?No3311.9¢59¢$20+$16$0
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes6408¢3.1¢$20−$32$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes4,1370.7¢0.5¢$19−$12$0
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes4076.3¢45.5¢$18−$12−$17
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes37626.6¢4.8¢$18−$82+$33
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,2060.7¢0.5¢$18−$4.83$0
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.8k0.8¢0.2¢$16−$70+$58
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,2060.7¢0.5¢$16−$6.43$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,2060.7¢0.5¢$16−$6.43$0
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes31930.7¢5¢$16−$82+$74
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes6150.8¢2.6¢$16+$11+$45
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes34112.4¢4.6¢$16−$27+$9.46

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill UNI dip to $3.00 by December 31, 2026?5.6¢91$5.1442%45
SELL NoTrump out as President before 2027?95.8¢2,305$2,20842%45
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027?8.1¢234$1942%45
BUY NoWill UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026?50.6¢140$7142%45
BUY YesWill Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?47.6¢485$23142%45
BUY NoWill MegaETH hit $0.10 by September 30, 2027?53¢20$1142%45
BUY NoWill MegaETH hit $0.10 by March 31, 2027?70.3¢286$20142%45
BUY YesWill Pump.fun dip to $0.0030 by December 31, 2026?27.4¢256$7042%45
BUY NoWill Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?19¢72$1442%45
BUY YesWill Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?17¢60$1042%45
BUY NoWill Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?22¢495$10942%45
SELL NoTrump out as President before 2027?95.9¢1,103$1,05842%45
BUY NoWill Solana hit $300 by June 30, 2027?78¢20$1642%45
BUY NoWill XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027?38.2¢970$37142%45
BUY $60Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?31.1¢1,434$44642%45
BUY NoWill Solana hit $300 by March 31, 2027?84.2¢70$5942%45
BUY NoWill Solana hit $300 by December 31, 2027?63.7¢90$5742%45
BUY NoWill Solana hit $300 by June 30, 2027?60.3¢550$33142%45
BUY NoWill Solana hit $300 by September 30, 2027?62.1¢182$11342%45
BUY YesWill Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of November 2026?22¢20$4.4042%45