Traders/Rank #1,530

Surpriced-Legacy

0x483…1bfa@BTCBeliever21

PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+Crypto

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$127kvol $1.18M

PnL 30d−$14.8kgains $0 · losses $59

PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%

Win rate56.8%adj 54.4% · 30d 0.0%

Open value$0cash n/a

Positions77 / 114open / all-time

Max drawdown−16.2%of equity peak

Account age5molast trade 9d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$129kbelow peak −$19.3kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

50/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73

Adjusted win rateraw 56.8% · shrunk toward 50%36

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable69

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d68

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yesopen+$143k Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yesclosed+$2,208 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Downclosed+$1,007 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET · Downclosed+$769 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET · Downclosed+$623

Worst markets

Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? · Yesopen−$13.0k Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Downopen−$739 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13? · Yesopen−$702 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Downopen−$595 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET · Downopen−$530

Open positions · 77

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	100k	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$112	−$5.62	ended
Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	Yes	62.6k	20.3¢	0¢	$0	−$12.7k	−$277	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	11.1k	2.2¢	0¢	$0	−$246	−$10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	10.3k	3.4¢	0¢	$0	−$350	−$16	ended
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	10.0k	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$28	+$143k	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	6,000	2.7¢	0¢	$0	−$160	−$0.68	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	5,746	4.5¢	0¢	$0	−$257	−$16	ended
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 7-13?	Yes	5,582	6.4¢	0¢	$0	−$360	+$264	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	5,500	9.5¢	0¢	$0	−$524	−$5.73	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	5,318	2.9¢	0¢	$0	−$155	−$10	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	5,067	1¢	0¢	$0	−$51	−$3.46	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	5,000	2¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	5,000	2¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	4,996	1¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$3.46	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	4,918	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$68	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	4,226	3.4¢	0¢	$0	−$145	−$9.38	ended
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 7-13?	Yes	3,514	17.7¢	0¢	$0	−$622	−$80	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	3,280	7.1¢	0¢	$0	−$232	−$13	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	3,105	2¢	0¢	$0	−$62	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	3,032	4.1¢	0¢	$0	−$125	−$7.30	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	2,925	11.6¢	0¢	$0	−$340	−$18	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	2,500	4.2¢	0¢	$0	−$105	−$2.78	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	2,500	5¢	0¢	$0	−$125	−$0.42	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	2,359	8.4¢	0¢	$0	−$198	−$7.57	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	2,300	1¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$1.59	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	2,170	1.8¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$2.71	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	2,162	27¢	0¢	$0	−$583	−$12	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	2,116	34¢	0¢	$0	−$720	−$19	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	2,000	1¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$1.39	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	2,000	1¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$1.39	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	2,000	3.5¢	0¢	$0	−$70	−$3.36	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	2,000	5¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$3.35	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	1,999	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$57	−$3.75	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	1,990	2.5¢	0¢	$0	−$50	−$1.82	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	1,800	7.7¢	0¢	$0	−$139	−$8.07	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	1,738	2.2¢	0¢	$0	−$38	−$2.58	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	1,717	4.8¢	0¢	$0	−$82	−$5.40	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	1,658	4.2¢	0¢	$0	−$70	−$4.56	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	1,600	1¢	0¢	$0	−$16	−$1.11	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	1,451	3.1¢	0¢	$0	−$45	−$2.26	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	1,345	23.7¢	0¢	$0	−$319	−$15	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	1,293	11.8¢	0¢	$0	−$153	−$7.37	ended
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	1,200	14¢	0¢	$0	−$168	−$7.22	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	1,161	41.4¢	0¢	$0	−$480	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	1,077	4.7¢	0¢	$0	−$51	−$3.37	ended
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	1,050	13¢	0¢	$0	−$137	−$5.94	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	1,028	2.4¢	0¢	$0	−$24	−$1.19	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	1,015	9.9¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$6.23	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	1,000	1¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.69	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	1,000	1¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.69	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	1,000	1¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.69	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	1,000	1¢	0¢	$0	−$10	−$0.69	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	1,000	1¢	0¢	$0	−$10	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	1,000	2.8¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$1.90	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	1,000	1.5¢	0¢	$0	−$15	−$1.03	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	1,000	10¢	0¢	$0	−$100	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	1,000	1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	1,000	1¢	0¢	$0	−$10.00	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	1,000	7.5¢	0¢	$0	−$75	−$0.78	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	983	6.1¢	0¢	$0	−$60	−$3.82	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	807	5.6¢	0¢	$0	−$45	−$2.36	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	711	23.4¢	0¢	$0	−$166	−$6.31	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	640	39.8¢	0¢	$0	−$255	−$9.64	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	500	8.8¢	0¢	$0	−$44	+$131	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	479	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$18	−$1.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	475	35¢	0¢	$0	−$166	−$5.84	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	400	11¢	0¢	$0	−$44	−$2.74	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	346	18.8¢	0¢	$0	−$65	−$3.69	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	299	5.9¢	0¢	$0	−$18	−$1.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	239	11.7¢	0¢	$0	−$28	−$1.73	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	213	47¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$3.71	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	212	17¢	0¢	$0	−$36	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	205	19¢	0¢	$0	−$39	−$2.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	181	6.6¢	0¢	$0	−$12	−$0.78	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	154	10.2¢	0¢	$0	−$16	−$0.99	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	96	50¢	0¢	$0	−$48	−$1.68	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	94	18¢	0¢	$0	−$17	−$0.98	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
9d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	5.3¢	2,000	$105	57%	50
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	5.4¢	10	$0.54	57%	50
10d ago	SELL Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	4.5¢	10	$0.45	57%	50
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	5.5¢	500	$27	57%	50
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	4.9¢	212	$10	57%	50
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	5¢	500	$25	57%	50
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	9.6¢	550	$53	57%	50
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	9¢	600	$54	57%	50
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	8¢	500	$40	57%	50
10d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	7¢	1,850	$130	57%	50
13d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	13.6¢	556	$76	57%	50
14d ago	SELL Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	14.2¢	21	$2.99	57%	50
14d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	19¢	8	$1.52	57%	50
14d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	19¢	1,457	$277	57%	50
14d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	19.8¢	250	$50	57%	50
14d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	18¢	250	$45	57%	50
14d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	17.8¢	500	$89	57%	50
14d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	17¢	2,000	$340	57%	50
15d ago	SELL Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	26¢	220	$57	57%	50
17d ago	BUY Yes	Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?	37¢	29	$11	57%	50