sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,726

alex20011

0x486…a1c1
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$73.4kvol $2.41M
PnL 30d+$125kgains $68.1k · losses $21.5k
PnL 7d+$53.9kwin rate 7d 35.9%
Win rate35.9%adj 36.4% · 30d 35.9%
Open value$185cash n/a
Positions2,000 / 14,657open / all-time
Max drawdown−43.6%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 23m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$299kbelow peak −$121kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

55/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 35.9% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity56

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12.8k1.1¢0.1¢$6.39−$137$0
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12.8k1.1¢0.1¢$6.39−$137$0
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12.8k1.1¢0.1¢$6.39−$137$0
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12.8k1.1¢0.1¢$6.39−$137$0
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12.8k1.1¢0.1¢$6.39−$137$0
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12.8k1.1¢0.1¢$6.39−$137$0
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12.8k1.1¢0.1¢$6.39−$137$0
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes12.7k1.1¢0.1¢$6.34−$136$0
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes6,8963.3¢0.1¢$3.45−$222$0
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6,4483.1¢0.1¢$3.22−$194$0
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6,4483.1¢0.1¢$3.22−$194$0
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6,4483.1¢0.1¢$3.22−$194$0
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6,4483.1¢0.1¢$3.22−$194$0
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6,4483.1¢0.1¢$3.22−$194$0
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6,4483.1¢0.1¢$3.22−$194$0
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6,4483.1¢0.1¢$3.22−$194$0
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6,4483.1¢0.1¢$3.22−$194$0
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6,3703.1¢0.1¢$3.19−$192−$1.53
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes6,0863.1¢0.1¢$3.04−$187−$6.32
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes5,8581.1¢0.1¢$2.93−$63−$70
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes5,8153.1¢0.1¢$2.91−$177−$16
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes4,4193.1¢0.1¢$2.21−$136−$53
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,3941.7¢0.1¢$2.20−$74$0
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,3941.7¢0.1¢$2.20−$74−$1.62
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,3941.7¢0.1¢$2.20−$74−$1.62
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,3941.7¢0.1¢$2.20−$74$0
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,3941.7¢0.1¢$2.20−$74−$1.62
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,3941.7¢0.1¢$2.20−$74$0
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,3941.7¢0.1¢$2.20−$74−$1.62
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,3941.7¢0.1¢$2.20−$74$0
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes4,3941.7¢0.1¢$2.20−$74−$1.62
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes3,9653.1¢0.1¢$1.98−$119−$73
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,0893.4¢0.1¢$1.54−$105$0
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,0893.4¢0.1¢$1.54−$105$0
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,0893.4¢0.1¢$1.54−$105$0
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,0893.4¢0.1¢$1.54−$105$0
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes3,0893.4¢0.1¢$1.54−$105$0
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,3932.5¢0.1¢$1.20−$59$0
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,3932.5¢0.1¢$1.20−$59$0
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,3932.5¢0.1¢$1.20−$59$0
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,3932.5¢0.1¢$1.20−$59$0
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,3932.5¢0.1¢$1.20−$59$0
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,3892.5¢0.1¢$1.19−$59−$0.10
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,3072.5¢0.1¢$1.15−$57−$2.08
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,1203.1¢0.1¢$1.06−$65−$65
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes2,1203.1¢0.1¢$1.06−$65−$104
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,0152.5¢0.1¢$1.01−$49−$2.25
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1,9362.5¢0.1¢$0.97−$47−$2.45
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,82420¢0.1¢$0.91−$364−$16
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?Yes1,47220¢0.1¢$0.74−$294−$100
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1,3602.5¢0.1¢$0.68−$33−$2.45
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,3431.7¢0.1¢$0.67−$22−$54
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Yes1,3431.7¢0.1¢$0.67−$22−$39
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,1142.8¢0.1¢$0.56−$30$0
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,1142.8¢0.1¢$0.56−$30$0
Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,1142.8¢0.1¢$0.56−$30$0
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,1142.8¢0.1¢$0.56−$30$0
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,1142.8¢0.1¢$0.56−$30$0
Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1,1074.2¢0.1¢$0.55−$46$0
Will Málaga win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1,1074.2¢0.1¢$0.55−$46$0
Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes1,1074.2¢0.1¢$0.55−$46$0
Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Yes1,00420¢0.1¢$0.50−$200$0
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?Yes79920¢0.1¢$0.40−$159−$13
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7624.3¢0.1¢$0.38−$33$0
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7624.3¢0.1¢$0.38−$33$0
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7624.3¢0.1¢$0.38−$33$0
Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7624.3¢0.1¢$0.38−$33$0
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7624.3¢0.1¢$0.38−$33$0
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7624.3¢0.1¢$0.38−$33$0
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7624.3¢0.1¢$0.38−$33$0
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7624.3¢0.1¢$0.38−$33$0
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7624.3¢0.1¢$0.38−$33$0
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7624.3¢0.1¢$0.38−$33$0
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes7624.3¢0.1¢$0.38−$33$0
Will Marco Mendicino win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes7552.8¢0.1¢$0.38−$21$0
Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes7552.8¢0.1¢$0.38−$21$0
Will Michael Ford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes7552.8¢0.1¢$0.38−$21$0
Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes7552.8¢0.1¢$0.38−$21$0
Will Ana Bailão win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes7552.8¢0.1¢$0.38−$21$0
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes7552.8¢0.1¢$0.38−$21$0
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?Yes2986.7¢0.1¢$0.30−$20−$3.89
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?Yes2986.7¢0.1¢$0.30−$20−$3.83
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?Yes2986.7¢0.1¢$0.30−$20−$3.83
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes5922.7¢0.1¢$0.30−$16$0
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes5922.7¢0.1¢$0.30−$16$0
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes5922.7¢0.1¢$0.30−$16$0
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes5922.7¢0.1¢$0.30−$16$0
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes5922.7¢0.1¢$0.30−$16$0
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes5922.7¢0.1¢$0.30−$16$0
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes5922.7¢0.1¢$0.30−$16$0
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes5922.7¢0.1¢$0.30−$16$0
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes731.6¢0.4¢$0.29−$0.85$0
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes731.6¢0.4¢$0.26−$0.89$0
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes4973.7¢0.1¢$0.25−$18$0
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026?Yes4585¢0.1¢$0.23−$23$0
Will MVK Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes4585¢0.1¢$0.23−$23$0
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes4343.7¢0.1¢$0.22−$16−$2.24
Will Toy Story 5 have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes4064.8¢0.1¢$0.20−$19$0
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes4064.8¢0.1¢$0.20−$19$0
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Yes40220¢0.1¢$0.20−$80$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?1.3¢1,206$1636%55
SELL YesWill Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?0.1¢1,206$1.2136%55
SELL YesWill Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?0.1¢1,206$1.2136%55
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?82.4¢1,206$99336%55
BUY NoWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?51¢50$2636%55
SELL YesWill Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?1.3¢1,343$1736%55
SELL YesWill Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?0.1¢1,343$1.3436%55
SELL YesWill Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain?0.1¢1,343$1.3436%55
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?80.1¢1,343$1,07636%55
SELL YesWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on October 10?0.2¢11$0.0236%55
BUY NoWill Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?99.8¢39$3936%55
BUY NoWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?99.2¢39$3936%55
BUY NoWill Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?99.9¢39$3936%55
BUY NoWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?99.9¢39$3936%55
BUY NoWill Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?99.7¢39$3936%55
BUY NoWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?99.8¢39$3936%55
BUY NoWill Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?99.7¢39$3936%55
BUY NoWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?22¢39$8.5736%55
BUY NoWill Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?99.9¢39$3936%55
BUY NoWill Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?99.8¢39$3936%55