PnL all-time+$3,032vol $265k
PnL 30d+$3,061gains $1,716 · losses $597
PnL 7d+$1,086win rate 7d 97.0%
Win rate98.0%adj 96.1% · 30d 98.0%
Open value$3,452cash n/a
Positions6 / 6,414open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.8%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,313below peak $0Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
83/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 98.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity93
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 50 kt or more? · Yesclosed+$165Will OpenRouter process between 155T and 165T tokens the week of October 5? · Noopen+$127Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 0.5 · Overclosed+$90Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 30? · Noclosed+$68Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? · Yesclosed+$52
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C on September 29? · Noclosed−$209Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET · Upclosed−$201Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 26? · Noclosed−$113Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 6? · Noclosed−$25Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 29? · Yesclosed−$20
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? | Yes | 2,548 | 97.9¢ | 98.7¢ | $2,514 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will OpenRouter process between 155T and 165T tokens the week of October 5? | No | 804 | 78.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $759 | +$127 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 200 | 57.7¢ | 61¢ | $122 | +$6.50 | $0 | |
| Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5? | No | 43 | 94.8¢ | 95.4¢ | $41 | +$0.23 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? | Yes | 10 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $10 | +$0.02 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 10? | Yes | 5 | 48¢ | 99.8¢ | $4.99 | +$2.59 | $0 |
Recent trades
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