PnL all-time+$75vol $3,178
PnL 30d−$2.22gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1.11win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.7%adj 52.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$131cash n/a
Positions6 / 9open / all-time
Max drawdown−34.4%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$31below peak −$271Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale27
Adjusted win rateraw 66.7% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable32
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity66
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? · Yesopen−$100Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yesclosed−$100Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? · Yesopen−$50Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July? · Yesopen−$50US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yesopen−$50
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 125 | 60¢ | 100¢ | $125 | +$50 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 111 | 45¢ | 5.5¢ | $6.11 | −$44 | $0 | |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Yes | 1,342 | 3.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | Yes | 159 | 63¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July? | Yes | 108 | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | Yes | 94 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 60¢ | 125 | $75 | 67% | 19 | |||
| BUY Yes | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | 53¢ | 94 | $50 | 67% | 19 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 45¢ | 111 | $50 | 67% | 19 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | 29.5¢ | 339 | $100 | 67% | 19 | |||
| BUY Pacers | Thunder vs. Pacers | 34¢ | 147 | $50 | 67% | 19 | |||
| BUY Yes | Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July? | 46.5¢ | 108 | $50 | 67% | 19 | |||
| BUY Yes | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | 63¢ | 159 | $100 | 67% | 19 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | 3.7¢ | 1,342 | $50 | 67% | 19 | |||
| SELL Yes | Israel military action against Iran before July? | 99.8¢ | 377 | $376 | 67% | 19 | |||
| BUY Yes | Israel military action against Iran before July? | 26¢ | 377 | $98 | 67% | 19 |