PnL all-time−$159vol $10.1k
PnL 30d−$117gains $619 · losses $777
PnL 7d+$12win rate 7d 81.8%
Win rate56.6%adj 56.2% · 30d 56.6%
Open value$156cash n/a
Positions4 / 347open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.6%of equity peak
Account age30dlast trade 8h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$121below peak −$126Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
51/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.6% · shrunk toward 50%41
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable85
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity85
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) · Yesclosed+$47Trump renames AI by December 31? · Noclosed+$46Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$20Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$18Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$17
Worst markets
Trump renames AI by December 31? · Yesclosed−$53Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) · Noclosed−$50Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala · Alexandra Ealaclosed−$22Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? · Noclosed−$22Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$19
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oregon have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | U 10.5 | 160 | 94¢ | 96.3¢ | $154 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Utah State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 6 | 24¢ | 24.8¢ | $1.46 | +$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Arizona State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 7 | 15¢ | 11¢ | $0.73 | −$0.27 | $0 | |
| Will San Diego State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | Yes | 50 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | −$0.05 |
Recent trades
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