PnL all-time−$31vol $28.6k
PnL 30d−$10gains $0 · losses $13
PnL 7d−$10win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate46.2%adj 48.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$411cash n/a
Positions4 / 17open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.0%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$21below peak −$20Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 46.2% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable41
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d93
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? · Yesclosed−$50Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Noclosed−$13Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? · Noclosed−$11Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Nov 22-29? · Yesclosed−$10Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yesopen−$5.00
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 408 | 98.1¢ | 98¢ | $399 | −$0.61 | $0 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 23 | 56¢ | 48.4¢ | $11 | −$1.75 | $0 | |
| Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Yes | 19 | 26¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 17 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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