sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,741

hahaha13

0x491…667f
PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$6,841vol $286k
PnL 30d−$1,399gains $2,933 · losses $5,301
PnL 7d−$659win rate 7d 62.5%
Win rate54.0%adj 52.9% · 30d 52.2%
Open value$11.3kcash n/a
Positions21 / 71open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

53/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale55
Adjusted win rateraw 54.0% · shrunk toward 50%32
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 20

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes3,33387¢85.5¢$2,850−$50$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes3,00094.5¢94.7¢$2,840+$4.50$0
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?No3,09543.5¢41¢$1,269−$76$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes8,00016¢15.5¢$1,240−$40$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes5,00012¢11.5¢$575−$25$0
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes9,50019.5¢4.9¢$466−$1,387+$425
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes50086.5¢80.9¢$404−$28$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes3,00022.3¢10.5¢$315−$355$0
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?No41158.6¢54.5¢$224−$17$0
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?No1,25022.1¢16.5¢$206−$69$0
1win FDV above $150M one day after launch?No23092¢89¢$205−$6.90$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00022.8¢19¢$190−$38$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00012¢12.5¢$125+$5.00$0
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes9,4482¢1.2¢$109−$83$0
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?No92316.5¢10.5¢$97−$55$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes50021¢15.5¢$78−$28−$45
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?No1,0005.1¢4.9¢$49−$2.20$0
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?No16033.6¢29.5¢$47−$6.60$0
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?No4023¢64.5¢$26+$17$0
1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?No4050¢11.5¢$4.60−$15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY No1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?62.7¢187$11754%53
SELL YesNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?8¢25$1.9754%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?42¢2,645$1,11054%53
BUY No1win FDV above $30M one day after launch?50¢20$1054%53
BUY NoWill 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?23¢40$9.2054%53
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?13¢500$6554%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?41¢260$10754%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?20¢300$6054%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?10¢213$2154%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?53¢140$7454%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?38¢40$1554%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?28¢140$3954%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?10¢56$5.5854%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M?6.2¢100$6.2154%53
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?81¢1,000$81054%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?85¢60$5154%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?90¢100$9054%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?70¢40$2854%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?64.2¢60$3954%53
BUY NoWill commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?73¢20$1554%53