PnL all-time−$63vol $9,305
PnL 30d+$125gains $280 · losses $351
PnL 7d+$116win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate57.1%adj 51.9% · 30d 57.1%
Open value$3,028cash n/a
Positions9 / 16open / all-time
Max drawdown−25.0%of equity peak
Account age18dlast trade 10h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$134below peak −$27Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 57.1% · shrunk toward 50%30
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable40
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity75
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yesclosed+$106Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? · Yesopen+$95Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Upclosed+$90Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Downclosed+$83NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Noopen+$70
Worst markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Downclosed−$235Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET · Upclosed−$105Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? · Noopen−$57Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yesopen−$49Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? · Noopen−$41
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? | Yes | 614 | 81.5¢ | 97¢ | $595 | +$95 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 735 | 68¢ | 77.5¢ | $570 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 602 | 83¢ | 85¢ | $512 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin <30%? | No | 407 | 78.1¢ | 92¢ | $374 | +$57 | +$8.18 | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | No | 506 | 77¢ | 69¢ | $349 | −$41 | $0 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? | No | 479 | 83.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $343 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 344 | 58.2¢ | 44¢ | $151 | −$49 | $0 | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 127 | 79¢ | 91.5¢ | $116 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 36%+? | No | 19 | 83.9¢ | 93¢ | $18 | +$1.74 | $0 |
Recent trades
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