PnL all-time+$3,142vol $211k
PnL 30d+$90gains $154 · losses $9.03
PnL 7d+$13win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate81.5%adj 78.0% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$1,690cash n/a
Positions6 / 167open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.9%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 24d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$3,169below peak −$0.66Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 81.5% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable74
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d20
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan? · Yesclosed+$758Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$380GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Noclosed+$323Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Noclosed+$199Elon no longer world's richest before 2026? · Noclosed+$161
Worst markets
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 807 | 84.4¢ | 83¢ | $670 | −$11 | +$58 | |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 580 | 92.5¢ | 92¢ | $534 | −$2.72 | +$59 | |
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 300 | 86.7¢ | 93.4¢ | $280 | +$20 | +$9.85 | |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? | Yes | 135 | 95.6¢ | 97.4¢ | $132 | +$2.48 | +$4.95 | |
| GTA VI released by November 30? | Yes | 70 | 94.7¢ | 95.6¢ | $66 | +$0.56 | +$45 | |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? | Yes | 9 | 97.2¢ | 97.9¢ | $8.79 | +$0.06 | +$2.35 |
Recent trades
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