sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,397

MoonLambo1205

0x49e…8f85
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$44.2kvol $2.28M
PnL 30d−$1,955gains $5,058 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$62win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate84.2%adj 79.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$37.7kcash n/a
Positions31 / 146open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 5d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$40.7kbelow peak −$57.7kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 84.2% · shrunk toward 50%98
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d81
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No38.7k80¢79.5¢$30.7k−$193$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No7,67989.3¢91¢$6,988+$131$0
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes27.0k3.7¢0¢$0−$1,000−$29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No25.6k89.5¢0¢$0−$22.9k$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes23.5k5.1¢0¢$0−$1,200−$34
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes19.6k61¢0¢$0−$12.0k−$221
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes16.4k27.3¢0¢$0−$4,484+$661
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No14.0k72¢0¢$0−$10.1k$0
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No12.7k66.5¢0¢$0−$8,467$0
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No12.0k86.7¢0¢$0−$10.4k−$41
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes11.0k90.7¢0¢$0−$9,986−$45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No9,27665.9¢0¢$0−$6,115−$74
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No9,21256¢0¢$0−$5,159$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No7,14968.9¢0¢$0−$4,923−$57
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No6,61074.2¢0¢$0−$4,902$0
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No6,51433.2¢0¢$0−$2,163$0
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No6,16648.2¢0¢$0−$2,974$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No6,00084¢0¢$0−$5,040$0
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?No6,00035¢0¢$0−$2,099$0
Iran strike on US military by February 28?No4,73681.4¢0¢$0−$3,856$0
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?Yes4,4007¢0¢$0−$308$0
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No3,54230.5¢0¢$0−$1,079$0
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No3,42989.6¢0¢$0−$3,071−$13
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?Yes3,20019¢0¢$0−$608$0
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No2,00049¢0¢$0−$980$0
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No2,00027.4¢0¢$0−$549$0
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?Yes2,0004.6¢0¢$0−$92$0
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No1,88393.7¢0¢$0−$1,764−$4.45
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No1,85464¢0¢$0−$1,187$0
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No1,00034¢0¢$0−$340$0
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No1,00067¢0¢$0−$670$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?80¢38.7k$30.9k84%39Whale
BUY NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?94¢6,670$6,27084%39
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?91.8¢2,222$2,04184%39
BUY NoUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?95.8¢10.8k$10.4k84%39Whale
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?97¢24.1k$23.4k84%39Whale
BUY NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?89¢4,258$3,78984%39
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?97.7¢1,500$1,46684%39
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?97.6¢2,150$2,09984%39
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?97.6¢35.7k$34.8k84%39Whale
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?88.9¢2,349$2,08884%39
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?94¢20.1k$18.9k84%39Whale
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?43¢4,651$2,00084%39
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?87.8¢3,108$2,72984%39
BUY NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?88¢8,427$7,41684%39
BUY NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?87¢6,238$5,42784%39
BUY NoBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?96¢1,413$1,35684%39
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?92.9¢6,997$6,50084%39
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?72¢4,000$2,88084%39
BUY NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?97.7¢15.3k$15.0k84%39Whale
BUY NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?96¢1,400$1,34484%39