| Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31? | Yes | 60 | 70.7¢ | 45.5¢ | $27 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 3 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of October 5? | Yes | 13 | 96¢ | 61¢ | $8.10 | −$4.65 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on October 11? | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $1.00 | $0 | $0 | |
| Houthi strike on Israel by August 31? | No | 379k | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11.5k | +$317 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4? | Down | 2,848 | 99.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,833 | −$0.57 | |
| Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing? | No | 1,314 | 93¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,222 | $0 | |
| Will Merck & Co Inc (MRK) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin above 66,600 on March 31, 11AM ET? | Yes | 634 | 99.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$628 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin above 62,600 on June 18, 12PM ET? | Yes | 480 | 98.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$474 | −$0.40 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 331 | 2.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.31 | $0 | |
| Ethereum above 1,700 on June 18, 12PM ET? | Yes | 288 | 98.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$285 | −$0.10 | |
| Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 20? | Down | 260 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.26 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | Down | 234 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$231 | $0 | |
| Ethereum ETF Flows on August 13? | Negative | 230 | 98.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$227 | −$47 | |
| Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on January 30? | Up | 180 | 83.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$151 | $0 | |
| Will Israel not strike Yemen by 15 ET? | No | 168 | 8.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | +$17 | |
| Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1) | No | 166 | 99.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$166 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin above 60,800 on July 3, 5AM ET? | No | 165 | 99.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$165 | −$0.01 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | Up | 159 | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.85 | −$0.15 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ET | Down | 137 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.14 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12PM ET | Down | 123 | 94.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$116 | $0 | |
| Ethereum ETF Flows on February 9? | Negative | 113 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$112 | −$7.35 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Down | 110 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$109 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | Up | 110 | 71.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$79 | −$1.52 | |
| Ethereum above 1,960 on July 28, 3PM ET? | Yes | 107 | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.76 | +$0.08 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | Down | 101 | 97.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of July? | Yes | 100 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Gabriel Bonfim fight Sean Brady in his next UFC bout? | No | 100 | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.55 | −$0.05 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | Down | 100 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin above 74,400 on April 13, 7PM ET? | No | 100 | 99.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | $0 | |
| Ethereum above 2,365 on April 21, 11PM ET? | No | 99 | 99.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$98 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4PM ET | Up | 93 | 83¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$77 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin above 79,200 on April 26, 9PM ET? | No | 93 | 98.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$91 | −$200 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 9AM ET | Up | 92 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$91 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin ETF Flows on January 26? | Negative | 69 | 51.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | −$28 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | Up | 67 | 98.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$66 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | Up | 52 | 77.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on November 20? | Up | 51 | 87.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | −$99 | |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of July? | No | 50 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 16? | No | 50 | 99.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 18 ET? | Yes | 45 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.45 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 19 ET? | Yes | 45 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.45 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | Down | 42 | 73¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Euro / US Dollar (EUR/USD) Up or Down on July 31? | Up | 40 | 98.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$39 | −$0.03 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Up | 33 | 39.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| US strikes Yemen by September 30? | Yes | 31 | 45.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on December 8? | Up | 30 | 97¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Ethereum above 2,290 on April 13, 7PM ET? | No | 30 | 99.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12AM ET | Down | 28 | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.18 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 23? | Yes | 25 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on February 23? | Yes | 25 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 23? | Yes | 25 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 23? | Yes | 25 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 23? | Yes | 25 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on June 16? | Yes | 25 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on June 16? | Yes | 25 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.33 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $145 Week of September 7 2026? | Yes | 24 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | −$0.01 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1PM ET | Down | 18 | 92.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Ethereum above 1,740 on June 20, 3PM ET? | Yes | 16 | 71.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | −$28 | |
| Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin above 82,000 on May 10, 7PM ET? | No | 15 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | −$0.01 | |
| Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Social Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will The Left (Levica) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 23? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Our Country (ND) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Party of Generations (SG) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Ethereum above 2,520 on September 4, 1AM ET? | Yes | 15 | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.68 | −$0.05 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 8? | Yes | 13 | 93.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on March 9? | Down | 12 | 91.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | −$0.43 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | Down | 12 | 43¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | Down | 11 | 93¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.00 | $0 | |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on November 19? | Down | 10 | 81.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.38 | +$3.16 | |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 10 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | Yes | 10 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | Down | 10 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | −$0.12 | |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 23? | No | 10 | 40¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.00 | $0 | |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | Yes | 10 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin above 80,200 on May 15, 9AM ET? | No | 10 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.90 | −$0.01 | |
| EUR/USD Up or Down on January 29? | Down | 10 | 20.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.05 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Down | 10 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.30 | −$0.18 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 19? | Yes | 7 | 19.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.34 | +$0.92 | |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Down | 7 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 7? | Yes | 7 | 12¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.84 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 6 | 80¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | Down | 6 | 85¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | Up | 5 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.40 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | Down | 5 | 92¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.90 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | Up | 5 | 95¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Up | 5 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.05 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Up | 5 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 9AM ET | Down | 5 | 89¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.45 | $0 | |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-30? | Yes | 5 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.85 | $0 | |
