sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,222

pegfault

0x4a2…079f
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$9,885vol $392k
PnL 30d+$519gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$297win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate79.5%adj 70.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$58.2kcash n/a
Positions30 / 74open / all-time
Max drawdown−84.3%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 6mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$9,392below peak −$7,147Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 79.5% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity16

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 30

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No15.0k96¢93¢$13.9k−$443$0
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes18.9k54¢63.5¢$12.0k+$1,795$0
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes7,50070¢100¢$7,500+$2,250$0
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes14.9k58.7¢48.4¢$7,213−$1,520$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No6,28795.7¢98.1¢$6,165+$151$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No5,00096.6¢98.8¢$4,938+$107$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No5,00069¢70.5¢$3,525+$75$0
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No1,00070.1¢100¢$1,000+$299$0
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?No1,00078.5¢100¢$1,000+$215$0
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,00015¢18¢$898+$148$0
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes17.0k7¢0¢$0−$1,184$0
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?Yes11.5k11.5¢0¢$0−$1,325$0
Arsenal wins the Premier League?Yes10.1k36¢0¢$0−$3,652$0
US government shutdown Saturday?No5,00079¢0¢$0−$3,950$0
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes5,00015¢0¢$0−$750$0
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes3,00035¢0¢$0−$1,050$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes3,00051.2¢0¢$0−$1,536$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes2,50087.4¢0¢$0−$2,185$0
Cardinals vs. CowboysCowboys2,00062¢0¢$0−$1,240$0
Steelers vs. RavensSteelers2,00013¢0¢$0−$260$0
US bank failure by March 31?No1,50073¢0¢$0−$1,095$0
Commanders vs. LionsLions1,40075.9¢0¢$0−$1,062$0
Cowboys vs. LionsCowboys1,00038¢0¢$0−$380$0
Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?No1,00081¢0¢$0−$810$0
Commanders vs. EaglesCommanders1,00030¢0¢$0−$300$0
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes1,00057¢0¢$0−$570$0
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?Yes75056¢0¢$0−$420$0
49ers vs. SeahawksSeahawks50037¢0¢$0−$185$0
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? Yes50086¢0¢$0−$430$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?No20054.6¢0¢$0−$109$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?69¢5,000$3,45080%23
BUY NoNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? 98.9¢11.7k$11.6k80%23Whale
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?82¢400$32880%23
BUY NoWill Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?80¢37$2980%23
SELL YesWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?78¢5,000$3,90080%23
BUY YesNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?92¢5,000$4,60080%23
BUY YesSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?70¢2,500$1,75080%23
BUY YesSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?70¢5,000$3,50080%23
BUY NoWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?70.2¢46$3280%23
BUY NoWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?70.1¢150$10580%23
BUY NoUS government shutdown Saturday?79¢4,590$3,62680%23
BUY NoWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?96.4¢1,422$1,37180%23
BUY NoWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?96.4¢5,000$4,82080%23
SELL YesWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?35¢14.0k$4,90080%23
BUY NoWill Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?79¢500$39580%23
BUY NoWill Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?78¢78$6080%23
BUY NoFed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?90¢46$4180%23
BUY NoUS bank failure by March 31?73¢528$38680%23
BUY NoWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?96.2¢85$8180%23
BUY NoWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?78¢4,851$3,78480%23