PnL all-time−$8.73vol $6,189
PnL 30d+$5.30gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate75.0%adj 54.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$593cash n/a
Positions1 / 7open / all-time
Max drawdown−2.2%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$14below peak −$17Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 75.0% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable28
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity98
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 1
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | No | 623 | 96.9¢ | 95.3¢ | $593 | −$10 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | 96.9¢ | 623 | $604 | 75% | 19 | |||
| SELL No | Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | 96.7¢ | 586 | $567 | 75% | 19 | |||
| BUY No | Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | 94.5¢ | 586 | $554 | 75% | 19 | |||
| SELL No | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | 95.5¢ | 526 | $502 | 75% | 19 | |||
| BUY No | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | 95.4¢ | 526 | $502 | 75% | 19 | |||
| SELL No | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | 69¢ | 316 | $218 | 75% | 19 | |||
| BUY No | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | 69¢ | 356 | $246 | 75% | 19 | |||
| SELL No | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | 83.3¢ | 400 | $333 | 75% | 19 | |||
| BUY No | Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | 88.2¢ | 400 | $353 | 75% | 19 | |||
| BUY No | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | 73.2¢ | 452 | $331 | 75% | 19 | |||
| BUY No | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 84.1¢ | 463 | $389 | 75% | 19 |