PnL all-time−$413vol $21.6k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate29.4%adj 40.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$250cash n/a
Positions9 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−41.2%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$413below peak −$412Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 29.4% · shrunk toward 50%1
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity59
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon tweet 235–249 times June 13–20? · Noclosed+$2.94Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea election? · Noclosed+$2.73Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15? · Noclosed+$0.56Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Noopen+$0.50Will XRP reach $3.80 in October? · Noclosed+$0.29
Worst markets
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23? · Noopen−$347Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open? · Yesclosed−$38Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? · Yesopen−$7.52South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by July 31? · Yesopen−$5.80Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025? · Yesopen−$3.60
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 250 | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $250 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by July 31? | Yes | 590 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$5.80 | $0 | |
| Will Michelle Bachelet come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 452 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.20 | $0 | |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 430 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.58 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $4100 July 28–August 3? | Yes | 366 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.64 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 17-23? | No | 360 | 96.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$347 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025? | Yes | 360 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in September? | Yes | 291 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.30 | $0 | |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | Yes | 5 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.16 | −$7.35 |
Recent trades
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