sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,029

Jin-2026

0x4b3…4b79
WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,399vol $193k
PnL 30d+$708gains $1,448 · losses $130
PnL 7d+$142win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate60.7%adj 58.7% · 30d 52.4%
Open value$13.8kcash n/a
Positions15 / 101open / all-time
Max drawdown−37.4%of equity peak
Account age4molast trade 10h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$3,103below peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

56/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 60.7% · shrunk toward 50%47
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable67
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity63

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No3,49293.8¢93.5¢$3,265−$9.95$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No2,73694.8¢98.9¢$2,705+$109+$50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No2,68191.9¢93.5¢$2,507+$42$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?No2,20093.9¢97¢$2,134+$68$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No1,23082.8¢83.5¢$1,027+$8.45$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No1,19972.7¢85.5¢$1,025+$153−$133
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No80083.5¢85.5¢$684+$16$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No22393.5¢93¢$208−$1.14−$20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes20083¢80.5¢$161−$5.00$0
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No30035.7¢37.5¢$113+$5.50$0
France vs. England: France O/U 3.5 CornersOver1,78079.9¢0¢$0−$1,421−$81
Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes20070¢0¢$0−$140−$1.68
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex12321.2¢0¢$0−$26−$1.01
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes7895.3¢0¢$0−$75−$3.47
Valorant: TYLOO vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CTYLOO2034¢0¢$0−$6.80$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?94¢326$30661%56
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?87¢500$43561%56
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?86¢500$43061%56
SELL NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?99¢2,736$2,70961%56
BUY NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?86¢100$8661%56
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?87¢500$43561%56
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?95.8¢1,000$95861%56
SELL NoUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?98.4¢1,399$1,37761%56
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?95.8¢400$38361%56
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?95.8¢300$28761%56
SELL NoIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?92¢1,300$1,19661%56
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?37¢200$7461%56
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?33¢100$3361%56
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?88¢200$17661%56
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?78¢100$7861%56
BUY NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?87¢100$8761%56
SELL YesWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?60.1¢110$6661%56
SELL NoRussia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?90¢100$9061%56
SELL NoWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?63¢100$6361%56
BUY NoIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?92¢223$20561%56