| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | No | 1,985 | 93.3¢ | 93.4¢ | $1,853 | +$0.99 | −$213 | |
| Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Brazil? | No | 445 | 88.2¢ | 97.8¢ | $435 | +$43 | +$3.86 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso? | No | 400 | 95¢ | 98.5¢ | $394 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 400 | 80¢ | 93.5¢ | $374 | +$54 | +$32 | |
| Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $10B? | No | 379 | 86¢ | 89.5¢ | $339 | +$13 | −$82 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe? | No | 316 | 96.7¢ | 98.7¢ | $312 | +$6.48 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre? | Yes | 300 | 93.7¢ | 98.6¢ | $296 | +$15 | −$88 | |
| Will South Park episode not air? | No | 300 | 98.9¢ | 98¢ | $294 | −$2.91 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco? | No | 294 | 95¢ | 97.7¢ | $287 | +$7.80 | $0 | |
| Will Gabriel Tardio qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | Yes | 301 | 84.1¢ | 94.1¢ | $283 | +$30 | +$2.11 | |
| Will the earnings call not air? | No | 268 | 98.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $266 | +$1.45 | $0 | |
| Will the earnings call not air? | No | 268 | 98.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $266 | +$1.45 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse Ronaldo Caiado for President of Brazil? | No | 265 | 96.1¢ | 99.5¢ | $263 | +$8.75 | +$3.42 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,010 | 6.8¢ | 25.5¢ | $257 | +$188 | $0 | |
| Will the earnings call not air? | No | 258 | 98.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $256 | +$1.40 | $0 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,394 | 11¢ | 10.5¢ | $251 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso? | Yes | 211 | 94.5¢ | 98.1¢ | $207 | +$7.44 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | Yes | 200 | 92.1¢ | 97.7¢ | $195 | +$11 | −$127 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | 200 | 93.9¢ | 97¢ | $194 | +$6.22 | $0 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 579 | 57.6¢ | 33.5¢ | $194 | −$140 | −$4.27 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco? | Yes | 198 | 95.3¢ | 98.1¢ | $194 | +$5.34 | $0 | |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027? | No | 198 | 69.7¢ | 98.1¢ | $194 | +$56 | +$40 | |
| Will Trump endorse Romeu Zema for President of Brazil? | No | 193 | 98.4¢ | 99¢ | $191 | +$1.09 | +$15 | |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | No | 406 | 42.2¢ | 43¢ | $174 | +$3.44 | −$5.17 | |
| Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q3 adjusted revenue be above $14B? | No | 216 | 82.1¢ | 78¢ | $168 | −$8.89 | −$72 | |
| Will Brooke Buckner qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | No | 187 | 81.8¢ | 90¢ | $168 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | No | 214 | 69.5¢ | 71.5¢ | $153 | +$4.37 | +$0.95 | |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 263 | 61.3¢ | 58¢ | $152 | −$8.68 | −$39 | |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 196 | 67.2¢ | 76.5¢ | $150 | +$18 | −$3.40 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26? | Yes | 282 | 45¢ | 53¢ | $150 | +$23 | +$1.05 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20? | Yes | 236 | 50.3¢ | 61¢ | $144 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24? | Yes | 191 | 50.9¢ | 71.5¢ | $137 | +$39 | +$0.02 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027? | No | 339 | 33.5¢ | 39.5¢ | $134 | +$20 | −$5.69 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23? | Yes | 241 | 49¢ | 55.5¢ | $134 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Trump endorse Augusto Cury for President of Brazil? | No | 130 | 97.5¢ | 99.3¢ | $129 | +$2.38 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18? | Yes | 208 | 36.9¢ | 60¢ | $125 | +$48 | +$20 | |
| Will Armaan Bhatia reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? | No | 130 | 81.4¢ | 95.7¢ | $124 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 15? | No | 134 | 83.2¢ | 91.5¢ | $123 | +$11 | −$10 | |
| Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? | No | 150 | 84.3¢ | 81¢ | $122 | −$4.96 | +$2.47 | |
| Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | No | 225 | 60.2¢ | 53.5¢ | $120 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Ohio not air? | No | 121 | 97.9¢ | 99.3¢ | $120 | +$1.64 | $0 | |
| Will Solana hit $300 by June 30, 2027? | No | 142 | 0¢ | 84¢ | $120 | +$120 | $0 | |
| Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31? | No | 192 | 52.1¢ | 61¢ | $117 | +$17 | −$1.00 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão? | No | 120 | 95¢ | 97.5¢ | $117 | +$2.94 | $0 | |
| Will GIANTX make a roster change by December? | Yes | 125 | 65¢ | 90¢ | $113 | +$31 | $0 | |
| Will Mirassol be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A? | No | 139 | 63.8¢ | 79.5¢ | $110 | +$22 | −$3.00 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | No | 161 | 26¢ | 68¢ | $109 | +$68 | $0 | |
| Will Domino's Pizza (DPZ) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 261 | 33.3¢ | 41.5¢ | $108 | +$21 | +$16 | |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 131 | 88.3¢ | 81.5¢ | $107 | −$8.95 | −$23 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | Yes | 184 | 53.1¢ | 57.5¢ | $106 | +$8.04 | −$9.20 | |
| Will the Democrats win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 122 | 86.7¢ | 84.5¢ | $103 | −$2.71 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28? | Yes | 163 | 48.5¢ | 62¢ | $101 | +$22 | +$3.02 | |
| Will Invictus Gaming Qualify for Worlds 2026? | Yes | 100 | 24¢ | 99¢ | $99 | +$75 | $0 | |
| Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 189 | 35¢ | 52¢ | $98 | +$32 | +$36 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25? | No | 300 | 29¢ | 32.5¢ | $98 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas? | Yes | 100 | 93.1¢ | 97¢ | $97 | +$3.91 | −$43 | |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 201 | 43.8¢ | 46¢ | $93 | +$4.39 | +$93 | |
| Will CTBC Flying Oyster Qualify for Worlds 2026? | Yes | 96 | 30.8¢ | 95¢ | $91 | +$62 | +$2.72 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | Yes | 100 | 91.2¢ | 90.5¢ | $91 | −$0.71 | $0 | |
| Will Lawrence Katz win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | No | 100 | 92¢ | 85.5¢ | $86 | −$6.50 | $0 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 31, 2026? | No | 87 | 85.4¢ | 96.3¢ | $84 | +$9.42 | $0 | |
| Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? | No | 180 | 58.8¢ | 46.5¢ | $84 | −$22 | $0 | |
| Will FURIA Qualify for Worlds 2026? | Yes | 86 | 44.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $84 | +$46 | −$0.22 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17? | Yes | 131 | 59.4¢ | 61¢ | $80 | +$2.16 | $0 | |
| Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by September 30, 2026? | No | 86 | 33.9¢ | 92.7¢ | $80 | +$51 | $0 | |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 173 | 35.9¢ | 46¢ | $80 | +$17 | +$2.39 | |
| Will the Democrats win Fort Bend County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 85 | 90.2¢ | 93.2¢ | $79 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 33M tonnes at end of October 2026? | Yes | 90 | 56.8¢ | 84.5¢ | $76 | +$25 | −$67 | |
| Will Meteor leave T1 in 2026? | No | 100 | 72¢ | 74¢ | $74 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | No | 82 | 55.4¢ | 89.5¢ | $74 | +$28 | +$17 | |
| Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? | Yes | 107 | 57.5¢ | 68.5¢ | $74 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by October 31? | No | 80 | 60¢ | 91.5¢ | $73 | +$25 | +$16 | |
| Will Mark Sager win the 2026 West Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 140 | 0¢ | 51.5¢ | $72 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | No | 148 | 52.3¢ | 47.5¢ | $70 | −$7.13 | +$0.88 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24? | Yes | 92 | 41.5¢ | 71¢ | $66 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará? | Yes | 66 | 95.7¢ | 97.5¢ | $64 | +$1.20 | $0 | |
| OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 131 | 77.6¢ | 49¢ | $64 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 37M tonnes at end of November 2026? | No | 65 | 89.5¢ | 97.7¢ | $64 | +$5.34 | −$239 | |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 400 | 25¢ | 15.5¢ | $62 | −$38 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba? | Yes | 62 | 93.3¢ | 98.5¢ | $61 | +$3.20 | $0 | |
| Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.55? | Yes | 105 | 68.9¢ | 58¢ | $61 | −$11 | −$21 | |
| Will MVK Esports Qualify for Worlds 2026? | Yes | 60 | 22¢ | 99.1¢ | $59 | +$46 | $0 | |
| Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026? | No | 70 | 92.9¢ | 84¢ | $59 | −$6.23 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe? | Yes | 59 | 96¢ | 97.3¢ | $58 | +$0.77 | −$9.67 | |
| Will it snow in Dallas, TX by November 30? | No | 80 | 85.5¢ | 72¢ | $58 | −$11 | +$0.50 | |
| Will Anyone's Legend make a roster change by December? | No | 125 | 47.6¢ | 45.5¢ | $57 | −$2.63 | $0 | |
| Will Dplus KIA make a roster change by December? | No | 99 | 58.7¢ | 57¢ | $56 | −$1.65 | −$1.82 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27? | Yes | 122 | 41¢ | 46¢ | $56 | +$6.09 | $0 | |
| Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 127 | 20.5¢ | 44¢ | $56 | +$30 | −$0.01 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 23? | Yes | 100 | 50.6¢ | 55.5¢ | $56 | +$4.95 | $0 | |
| Will the announcers say "Knockout" or "Knock Out" or "Knocked Out" during Tsarukyan vs Ruffy? | Yes | 106 | 78.3¢ | 51.5¢ | $55 | −$28 | −$13 | |
| Will Xi'an Team WE make a roster change by December? | No | 125 | 37.6¢ | 43¢ | $54 | +$6.75 | $0 | |
| Will Paraguay be removed as a host nation of the 2030 World Cup? | No | 54 | 95¢ | 95.7¢ | $52 | +$0.35 | −$69 | |
| Will Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane? | No | 51 | 90.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $51 | +$4.36 | −$35 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29? | Yes | 103 | 43.1¢ | 49¢ | $50 | +$6.11 | +$1.39 | |
| Will Julián Quiñones finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 50 | 94¢ | 99.2¢ | $50 | +$2.60 | $0 | |
| Will Cloud9 make a roster change by December? | No | 125 | 46.8¢ | 39.5¢ | $49 | −$9.13 | $0 | |
| Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | Yes | 62 | 64.3¢ | 79.5¢ | $49 | +$9.43 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $6k by September 30, 2027? | No | 60 | 53.7¢ | 81.5¢ | $49 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | No | 58 | 70.7¢ | 83.5¢ | $49 | +$7.46 | −$63 | |
