sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Skaliz

0x4ba…8a89
PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$15.3kvol $3.53M
PnL 30d−$694gains $49 · losses $382
PnL 7d−$495win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate83.4%adj 82.1% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$15.5kcash n/a
Positions346 / 1,448open / all-time
Max drawdown−70.2%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 6d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$15.7kbelow peak −$32.4kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 83.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d80
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity30

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No5,68494.3¢90.5¢$5,144−$215$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes14.0k12¢11.5¢$1,610−$70$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?No1,04562.5¢98.1¢$1,025+$372$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?No1,00091.1¢93.3¢$932+$21$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?No93597¢98.2¢$918+$11$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No89293.8¢97.7¢$871+$34$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?No96190.1¢84¢$807−$59$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,32935¢40¢$531+$66$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No50039¢99.6¢$498+$303$0
ECB rate cut in 2026?No50047.8¢96¢$480+$241+$27
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Yes2,33914.6¢20.4¢$477+$136$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?No50055¢88¢$440+$165$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No33494¢98.4¢$329+$15$0
Trump goes to space in 2026?No30097¢98¢$294+$2.85$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No20086¢96.3¢$192+$20$0
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?No16094.2¢97.8¢$156+$5.78$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No13980¢97¢$134+$23+$22
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in October?No15076¢87¢$131+$17$0
Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Yes23648¢47.5¢$112−$1.18$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No19995.9¢28.4¢$57−$134$0
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Yes28436.7¢19.5¢$55−$49$0
Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in October?No6080¢90¢$54+$6.00$0
US recession by end of 2026?No5075¢93.5¢$47+$9.25$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No32849.9¢13.1¢$43−$121−$11
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes5052¢53.5¢$27+$0.75$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?No2685¢98.7¢$26+$3.57$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?Yes5074¢48.7¢$24−$13$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes2,31519.5¢0.8¢$17−$435$0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes2,6442.5¢0.4¢$9.25−$56+$15
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes1009.4¢8.3¢$8.25−$1.15$0
GTA VI released by October 31?Yes69613.5¢0.5¢$3.83−$90+$164
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes15.0k0.5¢0¢$0−$76$0
US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes13.5k4.2¢0¢$0−$572$0
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes11.4k5.1¢0¢$0−$576+$63
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 27?Up10.4k0.4¢0¢$0−$40$0
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes9,09515.5¢0¢$0−$1,411−$182
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette LeopardsHoly Cross Crusaders8,75047¢0¢$0−$4,112$0
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-17?No8,00022.1¢0¢$0−$1,770$0
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?No7,73011.1¢0¢$0−$860$0
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes6,5313.9¢0¢$0−$257$0
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?Yes6,50061¢0¢$0−$3,965$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 4?No6,0670.3¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?No6,00040¢0¢$0−$2,400$0
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?Yes6,00052¢0¢$0−$3,120$0
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes6,0001.9¢0¢$0−$114−$3.36
Fordham Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies: O/U 140.5Under6,00047¢0¢$0−$2,820$0
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-6.5)Iowa State Cyclones6,00048¢0¢$0−$2,880$0
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-18?No5,60033¢0¢$0−$1,848$0
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5Under5,22246¢0¢$0−$2,402$0
Fairfield Stags vs. Marist Red Foxes: O/U 141.5Under5,20052¢0¢$0−$2,704$0
Ipswich Town FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5Under5,00051¢0¢$0−$2,550$0
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Under5,0003¢0¢$0−$150$0
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 144.5Under5,00049¢0¢$0−$2,450$0
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25?Yes4,99939¢0¢$0−$1,950$0
Columbia Lions vs. Brown Bears: O/U 141.5Under4,96648¢0¢$0−$2,384$0
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?No4,50048¢0¢$0−$2,160$0
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes4,5003.4¢0¢$0−$153$0
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5Over4,40048¢0¢$0−$2,112$0
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-01-16?No4,30046¢0¢$0−$1,980$0
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?No4,15012.5¢0¢$0−$517$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes4,0004.1¢0¢$0−$164−$4.72
Spread: UCF Knights (-2.5)UCF Knights4,00051¢0¢$0−$2,040$0
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes3,98439¢0¢$0−$1,554$0
Bills vs. BroncosBills3,75047¢0¢$0−$1,763$0
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-11?No3,50044.4¢0¢$0−$1,555$0
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-09?No3,50028.4¢0¢$0−$996$0
Burgos CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5Over3,30057¢0¢$0−$1,881$0
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?Yes3,21119.8¢0¢$0−$635+$67
Lightning vs. StarsStars3,20047¢0¢$0−$1,504$0
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-01-09?No3,20045.5¢0¢$0−$1,457$0
Canadiens vs. StarsStars3,12562.4¢0¢$0−$1,949$0
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?Yes3,0773.8¢0¢$0−$116+$0.45
Avalanche vs. KrakenKraken3,07227.2¢0¢$0−$837$0
Islanders vs. PredatorsIslanders3,00046¢0¢$0−$1,380$0
Charlotte 49ers vs. East Carolina Pirates: O/U 141.5Under3,00050¢0¢$0−$1,500$0
Jazz vs. CavaliersCavaliers3,00083¢0¢$0−$2,490$0
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?No3,00056¢0¢$0−$1,680$0
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-02?No3,00038¢0¢$0−$1,140$0
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-25?No3,00050.3¢0¢$0−$1,510$0
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under3,00048¢0¢$0−$1,440$0
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No3,0005¢0¢$0−$150$0
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-01-16?No2,90059¢0¢$0−$1,711$0
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-3.5)Vermont Catamounts2,83042.3¢0¢$0−$1,198$0
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)Lille OSC2,80053¢0¢$0−$1,484$0
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08?No2,68056¢0¢$0−$1,501$0
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-12?Yes2,60044¢0¢$0−$1,144$0
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?No2,50127.2¢0¢$0−$680$0
Kings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over2,50055¢0¢$0−$1,375$0
Getafe CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over2,50054¢0¢$0−$1,350$0
Flames vs. BlackhawksBlackhawks2,50053¢0¢$0−$1,325$0
Spread: Columbia Lions (-3.5)Columbia Lions2,50043¢0¢$0−$1,075$0
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes2,3718.5¢0¢$0−$201$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 3?No2,2850.4¢0¢$0−$9.14$0
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?No2,2276.7¢0¢$0−$149−$5.56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 3?No2,1540.9¢0¢$0−$19+$279
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5Under2,00059¢0¢$0−$1,180$0
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,0002.1¢0¢$0−$41$0
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?No2,00039.5¢0¢$0−$790$0
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?No2,00015¢0¢$0−$300$0
Missouri Tigers vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 149.5Over2,00045¢0¢$0−$900$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoRussia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?94¢334$31483%65
SELL NoPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?68¢20$1483%65
BUY NoSpain snap election called in 2026?14¢52$7.2783%65
BUY NoSpain snap election called by October 31?50¢801$40183%65
BUY YesWill France pass a national budget by December 31?48¢236$11383%65
BUY NoWill the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% in October?80¢60$4883%65
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in October?76¢150$11483%65
BUY NoSpain snap election called by October 31?45¢616$27783%65
BUY NoWill Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?95¢5,000$4,75083%65
BUY YesWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?14.3¢505$7283%65
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September?99.7¢150$15083%65
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?99.8¢30$3083%65
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September?99.7¢5$4.9983%65
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% in September?99.6¢599$59783%65
BUY YesWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?12¢14.0k$1,68083%65
BUY NoWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?98.5¢348$34383%65
BUY NoWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?97¢935$90783%65
SELL YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?11¢1,500$16583%65
SELL NoWill Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?10¢20$2.0083%65
BUY NoWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?3.8¢321$1283%65